FK Košice
vs
Skalica
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: FK Košice 2–1 Skalica
The model makes it 61% FK Košice, 22% draw, 17% Skalica — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: FK Košice 2.34, Skalica 1.00.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to FK Košice: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. FK Košice's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Skalica's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- FK Košice are 6th on 18 points from 14 games; Skalica are 11th on 10 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- FK Košice have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Dunajska Streda.
- Skalica have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-4 defeat at home to Žilina.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Košice 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 August 2026, ended Skalica 2–4 FK Košice.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FK Košice vs Skalica
Has the model earned this number?
FK Košice at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FK Košice vs Skalica
FK Košice
Super Liga
- L2-3away to Dunajska Streda7 November 2026
- W5-0away to AS Trencin31 October 2026
- L0-1Dunajska Streda28 October 2026
- D2-2Žilina25 October 2026
- D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026
Skalica
Super Liga
- L2-4Žilina7 November 2026
- L0-1away to Ružomberok1 November 2026
- D1-1Spartak Trnava24 October 2026
- L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
- D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026
What these results say
- FK Košice failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Košice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Košice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Skalica did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Skalica conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Skalica had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Košice | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 18 |
| 11 | Skalica | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FK Košice
Chance to finish in the top six · 86% today
Skalica
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 72% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FK Košice vs Skalica
- 15 August 2026Skalica 2–4 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 5 May 2026Skalica 3–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 4 April 2026FK Košice 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 7 February 2026FK Košice 3–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 20 September 2025Skalica 1–0 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 8 December 2024FK Košice 1–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: FK Košice and Skalica
FK Košice
GoalsAssists
- Aleksa Maraš63
- M. Sovič23
- O. Kakay21
Skalica
GoalsAssists
- Philip Onyedika31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Košice the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.34 expected goals for FK Košice against 1.00 for Skalica. FK Košice's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.89 for Skalica.
How the model reaches 61% for FK Košice to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FK Košice to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, FK Košice's ratings add 10 points and Skalica's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- FK Košice's ratings55%+10
- Skalica's ratings61%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FK Košice at home · Skalica away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: FK Košice 14, Skalica 14.
FK Košice score most often in the 0–15 minute window (8 goals); Skalica have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FK Košice
- at Slovan Bratislava28 Nov · Super Ligawin 18%
- vs Podbrezová6 Dec · Super Ligawin 50%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica13 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
- vs Spartak Trnava6 Feb · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Ružomberok13 Feb · Super Ligawin 47%
Skalica
- vs Zemplín Michalovce29 Nov · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Dunajska Streda6 Dec · Super Ligawin 7%
- vs Komárno12 Dec · Super Ligawin 36%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica6 Feb · Super Ligawin 40%
- at Podbrezová13 Feb · Super Ligawin 19%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.