Zemplín Michalovce
vs
Spartak Trnava
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 Spartak Trnava
The model makes it 26% Zemplín Michalovce, 28% draw, 46% Spartak Trnava — fair odds of 3.85, 3.57 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Zemplín Michalovce 1.02, Spartak Trnava 1.54.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
One-sided: Spartak Trnava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Zemplín Michalovce's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Spartak Trnava's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Zemplín Michalovce are 8th on 14 points from 14 games; Spartak Trnava are 4th on 25 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Zemplín Michalovce have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Komárno.
- Spartak Trnava have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- Last 6 meetings: Spartak Trnava 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 16 August 2026, ended Spartak Trnava 2–0 Zemplín Michalovce.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava
Has the model earned this number?
Spartak Trnava at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga
- L0-2away to Komárno8 November 2026
- L1-4away to Žilina31 October 2026
- L1-4Podbrezová24 October 2026
- D1-1FK Košice18 October 2026
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
Spartak Trnava
Super Liga
- W2-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica7 November 2026
- L1-2Komárno31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Skalica24 October 2026
- L0-3Slovan Bratislava17 October 2026
- W3-1away to Podbrezová11 October 2026
What these results say
- Zemplín Michalovce did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zemplín Michalovce conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Spartak Trnava conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Spartak Trnava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Spartak Trnava had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 14 |
| 4 | Spartak Trnava | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Zemplín Michalovce
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 36% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava
- 16 August 2026Spartak Trnava 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 18 April 2026Spartak Trnava 3–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 21 March 2026Zemplín Michalovce 1–0 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 8 February 2026Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 21 September 2025Spartak Trnava 0–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 2 November 2024Spartak Trnava 3–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Zemplín Michalovce and Spartak Trnava
Zemplín Michalovce
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Spartak Trnava
GoalsAssists
- T. Kudlička31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
How the call on Zemplín Michalovce v Spartak Trnava has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 28% / 27% / 45% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 26% / 28% / 46%: the biggest move is Zemplín Michalovce's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Zemplín Michalovce win26%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Spartak Trnava win46%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Spartak Trnava the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Zemplín Michalovce against 1.54 for Spartak Trnava. Zemplín Michalovce's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.8 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.43 for Spartak Trnava.
How the model reaches 46% for Spartak Trnava to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Spartak Trnava to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Zemplín Michalovce's ratings add 8 points and Spartak Trnava's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 46%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Zemplín Michalovce's ratings36%+8
- Spartak Trnava's ratings46%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Zemplín Michalovce at home · Spartak Trnava away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Zemplín Michalovce 14, Spartak Trnava 14.
Spartak Trnava score most often in the 31–45 minute window (8 goals); Zemplín Michalovce have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Zemplín Michalovce
- at Skalica29 Nov · Super Ligawin 29%
- vs Slovan Bratislava5 Dec · Super Ligawin 21%
- at AS Trencin12 Dec · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Ružomberok6 Feb · Super Ligawin 45%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica13 Feb · Super Ligawin 27%
Spartak Trnava
- vs AS Trencin29 Nov · Super Ligawin 66%
- at Žilina5 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
- vs Ružomberok12 Dec · Super Ligawin 66%
- at FK Košice6 Feb · Super Ligawin 34%
- vs Dunajska Streda13 Feb · Super Ligawin 30%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.