Radnicki 1923
vs
Cukaricki
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnicki 1923 2–1 Cukaricki
The model makes it 43% Radnicki 1923, 27% draw, 30% Cukaricki — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Radnicki 1923 1.60, Cukaricki 1.22.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Radnicki 1923's rating is built from 52 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Cukaricki's from 52, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- Radnicki 1923 are 5th on 23 points from 15 games; Cukaricki are 7th on 22 points from 15 games — Super Liga.
- Radnicki 1923 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Železničar Pančevo.
- Cukaricki are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-1 win at home to Radnicki NIS.
- Last 6 meetings: Radnicki 1923 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 1 August 2026, ended Cukaricki 3–0 Radnicki 1923.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnicki 1923 vs Cukaricki
Has the model earned this number?
Radnicki 1923 at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Cukaricki
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga
- L1-3away to Železničar Pančevo7 November 2026
- W2-0Novi Pazar1 November 2026
- L1-2Železničar Pančevo28 October 2026
- W1-0Radnik Surdulica23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026
Cukaricki
Super Liga
- W2-1Radnicki NIS7 November 2026
- D0-0away to IMT Novi Beograd1 November 2026
- W2-0away to FK Partizan24 October 2026
- W3-0Zemun17 October 2026
- D2-2Macva10 October 2026
What these results say
- Radnicki 1923 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cukaricki went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Cukaricki scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radnicki 1923
Chance to finish in the top six · 73% today
Cukaricki
Chance to finish in the top six · 48% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Cukaricki
- 1 August 2026Cukaricki 3–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 9 April 2026Cukaricki 0–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 17 December 2025Radnicki 1923 3–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 3 March 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 5 October 2024Radnicki 1923 1–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 20 April 2024Radnicki 1923 4–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Cukaricki
Radnicki 1923
GoalsAssists
- U. Sremčević61
- M. Cissé42
Cukaricki
GoalsAssists
- U. Miladinović63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki 1923 the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.60 expected goals for Radnicki 1923 against 1.22 for Cukaricki. Radnicki 1923's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.73 for Cukaricki.
How the model reaches 43% for Radnicki 1923 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Radnicki 1923 to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Radnicki 1923's ratings add 1 point and Cukaricki's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 43%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Radnicki 1923's ratings43%+1
- Cukaricki's ratings43%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Radnicki 1923 at home · Cukaricki away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnicki 1923 15, Cukaricki 15.
Cukaricki score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); Radnicki 1923 have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Radnicki 1923
- at Zemun28 Nov · Super Ligawin 52%
- vs FK Partizan6 Dec · Super Ligawin 42%
- at IMT Novi Beograd6 Feb · Super Ligawin 29%
- vs Radnicki NIS13 Feb · Super Ligawin 56%
- vs Macva20 Feb · Super Ligawin 53%
Cukaricki
- vs Mladost Lucani28 Nov · Super Ligawin 52%
- at OFK Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 36%
- vs FK Crvena Zvezda6 Feb · Super Ligawin 17%
- at Vojvodina13 Feb · Super Ligawin 18%
- vs Radnik Surdulica20 Feb · Super Ligawin 42%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.