Žilina
vs
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Žilina 2–1 Dukla Banská Bystrica
The model makes it 64% Žilina, 20% draw, 16% Dukla Banská Bystrica — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Žilina 2.50, Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.03.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Žilina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Žilina's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Dukla Banská Bystrica's from 14, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Žilina are 3rd on 28 points from 14 games; Dukla Banská Bystrica are 7th on 14 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Žilina are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 4-2 win away to Skalica.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Spartak Trnava.
- Last 6 meetings: Žilina 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 15 August 2026, ended Dukla Banská Bystrica 3–4 Žilina.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Has the model earned this number?
Žilina at 64%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Žilina
Super Liga
- W4-2away to Skalica7 November 2026
- W4-1Zemplín Michalovce31 October 2026
- D2-2away to FK Košice25 October 2026
- L2-3Dunajska Streda18 October 2026
- D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Super Liga
- L1-2Spartak Trnava7 November 2026
- L0-2Dunajska Streda1 November 2026
- D2-2away to Slovan Bratislava24 October 2026
- W1-0Podbrezová18 October 2026
- W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026
What these results say
- Žilina scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Žilina conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Žilina had three goals or more.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Žilina | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 28 |
| 7 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 21% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
- 15 August 2026Dukla Banská Bystrica 3–4 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 1 March 2025Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–2 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 20 October 2024Žilina 2–0 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 16 December 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 3–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
- 16 September 2023Žilina 1–4 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 23 May 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–3 ŽilinaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Žilina and Dukla Banská Bystrica
Žilina
GoalsAssists
- M. Faško61
- T. Hranica31
- D. Homet Ruiz30
Dukla Banská Bystrica
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Žilina a 0.7% chance of the title and Dukla Banská Bystrica 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Žilina the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.50 expected goals for Žilina against 1.03 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. Žilina's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.79 for Dukla Banská Bystrica.
How the model reaches 64% for Žilina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Žilina to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Žilina's ratings add 11 points and Dukla Banská Bystrica's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 64%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level46%+2
- Žilina's ratings57%+11
- Dukla Banská Bystrica's ratings64%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Žilina at home · Dukla Banská Bystrica away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Žilina 14, Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.
Dukla Banská Bystrica score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Žilina have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Žilina
- at Komárno28 Nov · Super Ligawin 41%
- vs Spartak Trnava5 Dec · Super Ligawin 45%
- at Podbrezová12 Dec · Super Ligawin 36%
- vs Slovan Bratislava6 Feb · Super Ligawin 37%
- at AS Trencin13 Feb · Super Ligawin 50%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- vs Ružomberok28 Nov · Super Ligawin 48%
- at Komárno5 Dec · Super Ligawin 26%
- vs FK Košice13 Dec · Super Ligawin 33%
- at Skalica6 Feb · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce13 Feb · Super Ligawin 44%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.