Regular Season - 15 · 22 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Dunajska Streda vs Komárno Super Liga prediction

Our model says: Dunajska Streda 2–0 Komárno

The model makes it 68% Dunajska Streda, 22% draw, 10% Komárno — fair odds of 1.47, 4.55 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (16%).

Expected goals: Dunajska Streda 2.10, Komárno 0.52.

Both teams to score: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Dunajska Streda's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Komárno's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Dunajska Streda are top on 38 points from 14 games; Komárno are 9th on 13 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
  • Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 3-2 win at home to FK Košice.
  • Komárno are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Zemplín Michalovce.
  • Last 6 meetings: Dunajska Streda 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 16 August 2026, ended Komárno 0–3 Dunajska Streda.

More Slovak Super Liga predictions

All Slovak Super Liga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Dunajska Streda vs Komárno

36%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Dunajska Streda win Draw Komárno win
  1. 2–016%
  2. 1–015%
  3. 3–011%
  4. 1–18%
  5. 2–18%
  6. 0–08%
  7. 4–06%

Scores read Dunajska Streda first; the other scorelines share the remaining 28%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Dunajska Streda at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Dunajska Streda vs Komárno

Dunajska Streda

Super Liga

  • W3-2FK Košice7 November 2026
  • W2-0away to Dukla Banská Bystrica1 November 2026
  • W1-0away to FK Košice28 October 2026
  • W5-0Ružomberok24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Žilina18 October 2026

Komárno

Super Liga

  • W2-0Zemplín Michalovce8 November 2026
  • W2-1away to Spartak Trnava31 October 2026
  • D0-0AS Trencin25 October 2026
  • L0-1Ružomberok17 October 2026
  • D1-1away to FK Košice10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Dunajska Streda won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Komárno had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Dunajska Streda141220429+3338
9Komárno142751317-413

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Dunajska Streda

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 98% today

Win 99%
Draw 97%
Defeat 95%

Komárno

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 29% today

Win 14%
Draw 25%
Defeat 32%

From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Dunajska Streda vs Komárno

  • 16 August 2026Komárno 0–3 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 15 February 2026Komárno 2–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 27 September 2025Dunajska Streda 1–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 2 November 2024Komárno 0–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 4 August 2024Dunajska Streda 2–0 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 22 September 2021Komárno 0–0 Dunajska StredaCup

Leading scorers: Dunajska Streda and Komárno

Dunajska Streda

GoalsAssists

  • Ammar Ramadan42
  • K. Nemanič21

Komárno

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dunajska Streda a 97.8% chance of the title and Komárno 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How the call on Dunajska Streda v Komárno has moved

First published on 8 Nov at 71% / 20% / 9% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 68% / 22% / 10%: the biggest move is Dunajska Streda's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Dunajska Streda win68%▼ −3
  2. Draw22%▲ +2
  3. Komárno win10%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Dunajska Streda Komárno
0.91 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.41
1.05 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.42
2.10 Model expected goals (this match) 0.52

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.10 expected goals for Dunajska Streda against 0.52 for Komárno. Dunajska Streda's attack/defence rating is 0.91/1.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.42 for Komárno.

Dunajska Streda carry a model rating of 6.78 against 6.27 for Komárno.

How the model reaches 68% for Dunajska Streda to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dunajska Streda to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Dunajska Streda's ratings add 16 points and Komárno's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 68%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level41%−3
  4. Dunajska Streda's ratings57%+16
  5. Komárno's ratings68%+11

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Dunajska StredaKomárno
14Matches14
12W 2D 0LRecord2W 7D 5L
42 3.0 per gameGoals scored13 0.9 per game
9 0.6 per gameGoals conceded17 1.2 per game
8 of 14Clean sheets3 of 14
0 of 14Failed to score4 of 14
1 of 1Penalties scored1 of 2
24 1.7 per gameYellow cards32 2.3 per game
0Red cards2
4-2-3-1 5×Usual shape4-4-2 3×

Dunajska Streda at home · Komárno away

6Played7
5W 1D 0LRecord1W 5D 1L
19–4Goals for – against9–9
4 of 6Clean sheets0 of 7

League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super Liga matches this season: Dunajska Streda 14, Komárno 14.

Dunajska Streda scored 3765109
Komárno conceded 132252

Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (10 goals); Komárno have let in 5 there.

Komárno scored 134024
Dunajska Streda conceded 231212

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Dunajska Streda

  • at Podbrezová28 Nov · Super Ligawin 52%
  • vs Skalica6 Dec · Super Ligawin 77%
  • at Slovan Bratislava13 Dec · Super Ligawin 35%
  • vs AS Trencin6 Feb · Super Ligawin 79%
  • at Spartak Trnava13 Feb · Super Ligawin 43%

Komárno

  • vs Žilina28 Nov · Super Ligawin 31%
  • vs Dukla Banská Bystrica5 Dec · Super Ligawin 42%
  • at Skalica12 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
  • vs Podbrezová6 Feb · Super Ligawin 36%
  • at Slovan Bratislava13 Feb · Super Ligawin 13%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.