AS Trencin
vs
Podbrezová
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: AS Trencin 1–2 Podbrezová
The model makes it 31% AS Trencin, 27% draw, 42% Podbrezová — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: AS Trencin 1.32, Podbrezová 1.62.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Podbrezová: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. AS Trencin's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Podbrezová's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- AS Trencin are bottom on 10 points from 14 games; Podbrezová are 5th on 20 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- AS Trencin are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Slovan Bratislava.
- Podbrezová have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-1 win at home to Ružomberok.
- Last 6 meetings: Podbrezová 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 August 2026, ended Podbrezová 2–1 AS Trencin.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: AS Trencin vs Podbrezová
Has the model earned this number?
Podbrezová at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into AS Trencin vs Podbrezová
AS Trencin
Super Liga
- D2-2away to Slovan Bratislava7 November 2026
- L0-5FK Košice31 October 2026
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava28 October 2026
- D0-0away to Komárno25 October 2026
- W2-0away to Skalica17 October 2026
Podbrezová
Super Liga
- W4-1Ružomberok8 November 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava31 October 2026
- W4-1away to Zemplín Michalovce24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica18 October 2026
- L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026
What these results say
- AS Trencin failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Podbrezová conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Podbrezová scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Podbrezová had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AS Trencin | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
AS Trencin
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 75% today
Podbrezová
Chance to finish in the top six · 85% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: AS Trencin vs Podbrezová
- 15 August 2026Podbrezová 2–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 7 February 2026AS Trencin 0–4 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 20 September 2025Podbrezová 2–0 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 15 February 2025Podbrezová 2–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 28 September 2024AS Trencin 1–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 2 December 2023AS Trencin 1–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
Leading scorers: AS Trencin and Podbrezová
AS Trencin
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Podbrezová
GoalsAssists
- B. Mrvaljević40
- M. Chrien40
- R. Šiler30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Podbrezová the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for AS Trencin against 1.62 for Podbrezová. AS Trencin's attack/defence rating is 0.46/2.01 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.77 for Podbrezová.
How the model reaches 42% for Podbrezová to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Podbrezová to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, AS Trencin's ratings add 6 points and Podbrezová's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 42%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- AS Trencin's ratings35%+6
- Podbrezová's ratings42%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
AS Trencin at home · Podbrezová away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: AS Trencin 14, Podbrezová 14.
AS Trencin score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Podbrezová have let in 3 there.
Podbrezová score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); AS Trencin have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
AS Trencin
- at Spartak Trnava29 Nov · Super Ligawin 13%
- at Ružomberok5 Dec · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce12 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Dunajska Streda6 Feb · Super Ligawin 7%
- vs Žilina13 Feb · Super Ligawin 26%
Podbrezová
- vs Dunajska Streda28 Nov · Super Ligawin 23%
- at FK Košice6 Dec · Super Ligawin 27%
- vs Žilina12 Dec · Super Ligawin 40%
- at Komárno6 Feb · Super Ligawin 34%
- vs Skalica13 Feb · Super Ligawin 57%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.