Ružomberok
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Ružomberok 0–2 Slovan Bratislava
The model makes it 18% Ružomberok, 25% draw, 57% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 5.56, 4.00 and 1.75.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (12%).
Expected goals: Ružomberok 0.85, Slovan Bratislava 1.92.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Slovan Bratislava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Ružomberok's rating is built from 46 Slovak Super Liga matches and Slovan Bratislava's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Ružomberok are 10th on 12 points from 14 games; Slovan Bratislava are 2nd on 28 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- Ružomberok have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Podbrezová.
- Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to AS Trencin.
- Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 August 2026, ended Slovan Bratislava 5–0 Ružomberok.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ružomberok vs Slovan Bratislava
Has the model earned this number?
Slovan Bratislava at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ružomberok vs Slovan Bratislava
Ružomberok
Super Liga
- L1-4away to Podbrezová8 November 2026
- W1-0Skalica1 November 2026
- L0-5away to Dunajska Streda24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Komárno17 October 2026
- D2-2Žilina11 October 2026
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga
- D2-2AS Trencin7 November 2026
- W2-1away to Podbrezová31 October 2026
- W2-0away to AS Trencin28 October 2026
- D2-2Dukla Banská Bystrica24 October 2026
- W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026
What these results say
- Ružomberok scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slovan Bratislava had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ružomberok | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Ružomberok
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 65% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Ružomberok vs Slovan Bratislava
- 15 August 2026Slovan Bratislava 5–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 22 February 2026Ružomberok 2–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 3 December 2025Slovan Bratislava 1–2 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 9 February 2025Ružomberok 1–5 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 21 September 2024Slovan Bratislava 2–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 18 May 2024Slovan Bratislava 5–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Ružomberok and Slovan Bratislava
Ružomberok
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Slovan Bratislava
GoalsAssists
- T. Barseghyan42
- Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
- Manasse Kianga22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Ružomberok a 0% chance of the title and Slovan Bratislava 1.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.85 expected goals for Ružomberok against 1.92 for Slovan Bratislava. Ružomberok's attack/defence rating is 0.43/1.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.22 for Slovan Bratislava.
How the model reaches 57% for Slovan Bratislava to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Slovan Bratislava to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Ružomberok's ratings add 13 points and Slovan Bratislava's ratings add 15 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Ružomberok's ratings42%+13
- Slovan Bratislava's ratings57%+15
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Ružomberok at home · Slovan Bratislava away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Ružomberok 14, Slovan Bratislava 14.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Ružomberok have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Ružomberok
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 24%
- vs AS Trencin5 Dec · Super Ligawin 41%
- at Spartak Trnava12 Dec · Super Ligawin 13%
- at Zemplín Michalovce6 Feb · Super Ligawin 26%
- vs FK Košice13 Feb · Super Ligawin 28%
Slovan Bratislava
- vs Real Betis24 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 14%
- vs FK Košice28 Nov · Super Ligawin 60%
- at Zemplín Michalovce5 Dec · Super Ligawin 53%
- vs Shakhtar Donetsk9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 31%
- vs Dunajska Streda13 Dec · Super Ligawin 37%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.