Radnicki NIS
vs
Zemun
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnicki NIS 1–0 Zemun
The model makes it 50% Radnicki NIS, 27% draw, 23% Zemun — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Radnicki NIS 1.65, Zemun 0.93.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Radnicki NIS: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Radnicki NIS's rating is built from 51 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Zemun's from 15, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8 points from 14 games; Zemun are bottom on 7 points from 15 games — Super Liga.
- Radnicki NIS have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Cukaricki.
- Zemun have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to IMT Novi Beograd.
- Last 5 meetings: Radnicki NIS 5 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Zemun 0–1 Radnicki NIS.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnicki NIS vs Zemun
Has the model earned this number?
Radnicki NIS at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnicki NIS vs Zemun
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga
- L1-2away to Cukaricki7 November 2026
- L2-3FK Partizan28 October 2026
- L0-2Novi Pazar23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
- L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026
Zemun
Super Liga
- D1-1IMT Novi Beograd7 November 2026
- L0-3away to FK Partizan1 November 2026
- W1-0Macva23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Cukaricki17 October 2026
- L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026
What these results say
- Radnicki NIS did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.
- Zemun failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zemun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radnicki NIS
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 85% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Radnicki NIS vs Zemun
- 2 August 2026Zemun 0–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 16 March 2019Zemun 0–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 20 October 2018Radnicki NIS 2–0 ZemunSuper Liga
- 25 November 2017Radnicki NIS 4–1 ZemunSuper Liga
- 5 August 2017Zemun 1–2 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki NIS the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Radnicki NIS against 0.93 for Zemun. Radnicki NIS's attack/defence rating is 0.45/2.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.34/2.3 for Zemun.
How the model reaches 50% for Radnicki NIS to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Radnicki NIS to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Radnicki NIS's ratings add 5 points and Zemun's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 50%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level41%−1
- Radnicki NIS's ratings46%+5
- Zemun's ratings50%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Radnicki NIS at home · Zemun away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnicki NIS 14, Zemun 15.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Radnicki NIS
- at FK Partizan28 Nov · Super Ligawin 19%
- vs IMT Novi Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 27%
- vs Macva6 Feb · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Radnicki 192313 Feb · Super Ligawin 20%
Zemun
- vs Radnicki 192328 Nov · Super Ligawin 21%
- at Mladost Lucani6 Dec · Super Ligawin 22%
- vs OFK Beograd6 Feb · Super Ligawin 26%
- at FK Crvena Zvezda13 Feb · Super Ligawin 3%
- vs Vojvodina20 Feb · Super Ligawin 12%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.