FC Andorra
vs
Mallorca
Segunda División prediction
Our model says: FC Andorra 0–1 Mallorca
The model makes it 30% FC Andorra, 31% draw, 39% Mallorca — fair odds of 3.33, 3.23 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: FC Andorra 0.97, Mallorca 1.17.
Both teams to score: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,017 settled matches.
Edge to Mallorca: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. FC Andorra's rating is built from 52 Segunda División matches and Mallorca's from 11, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,052 matches.
Key facts
- FC Andorra are 18th on 10 points from 10 games; Mallorca are 6th on 19 points from 11 games — Segunda División.
- FC Andorra have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Girona.
- Mallorca are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Leganes.
More Segunda División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Andorra vs Mallorca
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mallorca at 39% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 3,676 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Andorra vs Mallorca
FC Andorra
Segunda División
- L0-2away to Girona18 October 2026
- W1-0Castellón11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Sabadell4 October 2026
- W3-2away to Granada CF26 September 2026
- L1-3Sporting Gijon19 September 2026
Mallorca
Segunda División
- D1-1away to Leganes24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Eibar17 October 2026
- W3-1Las Palmas11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Girona4 October 2026
- L0-1Almeria27 September 2026
What these results say
- Mallorca failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mallorca conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Mallorca
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano42
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes61
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Andorra carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.76 for Mallorca. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.97 goals for FC Andorra and 1.17 for Mallorca. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Andorra rate 0.74 in attack and 1.48 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Mallorca rate 0.66 and 0.85.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Andorra a 0.1% chance of the title and Mallorca 6.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mallorca the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.97 expected goals for FC Andorra against 1.17 for Mallorca. FC Andorra's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.48 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/0.85 for Mallorca.
How the model reaches 39% for Mallorca to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Mallorca to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, FC Andorra's ratings add 18 points and Mallorca's ratings take away 9 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage30%−6
- FC Andorra's ratings48%+18
- Mallorca's ratings39%−9
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Andorra at home · Mallorca away
League matches only, Segunda División, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
FC AndorraMallorca
FC Andorra are 18th after 10 Segunda División matches (between 1st and 20th so far); Mallorca are 6th after 11 (between 1st and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda División matches this season: FC Andorra 10, Mallorca 11.
FC Andorra score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Mallorca have let in 1 there.
Mallorca score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); FC Andorra have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FC Andorra
- at Almeria14 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 21%
- vs Leganes22 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 52%
- at Las Palmas29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 31%
Mallorca
- vs Cordoba14 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 54%
- at Tenerife22 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 40%
- vs Castellón29 Nov · Segunda Divisiónwin 38%
- at Celta de Vigo II6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 44%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.