WSG Wattens
vs
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: WSG Wattens 2–1 Austria Vienna
The model makes it 39% WSG Wattens, 28% draw, 33% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: WSG Wattens 1.47, Austria Vienna 1.29.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,017 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. WSG Wattens's rating is built from 42 Austrian Bundesliga matches and Austria Vienna's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 448 matches.
Key facts
- WSG Wattens are 7th on 12 points from 10 games; Austria Vienna are 11th on 7 points from 10 games — Bundesliga.
- WSG Wattens have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Grazer AK.
- Austria Vienna are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to SCR Altach.
- Last 6 meetings: Austria Vienna 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 September 2026, ended Austria Vienna 0–1 WSG Wattens.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
Has the model earned this number?
It puts WSG Wattens at 39% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 3,676 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
- D1-1Grazer AK24 October 2026
- W2-0away to Wolfsberger AC18 October 2026
- L1-2Ried10 October 2026
- L0-3away to Rapid Vienna18 September 2026
- D2-2TSV Hartberg13 September 2026
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
- L1-2away to SCR Altach23 October 2026
- L2-3away to Ried17 October 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz10 October 2026
- D2-2away to Grazer AK19 September 2026
- W2-1Austria Lustenau13 September 2026
What these results say
- WSG Wattens failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- WSG Wattens scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- WSG Wattens conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Austria Vienna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Austria Vienna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Austria Vienna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
- 2 September 2026Austria Vienna 0–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 29 November 2025Austria Vienna 0–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 18 October 2025WSG Wattens 2–3 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 16 March 2025WSG Wattens 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 26 October 2024Austria Vienna 3–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 23 April 2024WSG Wattens 1–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen30
Austria Vienna
GoalsAssists
- J. Eggestein30
- M. Fischer23
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
WSG Wattens carry a model rating of 6.29 against 6.34 for Austria Vienna. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.47 goals for WSG Wattens and 1.29 for Austria Vienna. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
WSG Wattens rate 0.54 in attack and 1.66 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Austria Vienna rate 0.60 and 1.66.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives WSG Wattens the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for WSG Wattens against 1.29 for Austria Vienna. WSG Wattens's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.66 for Austria Vienna.
How the model reaches 39% for WSG Wattens to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for WSG Wattens to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, WSG Wattens's ratings take away 27 points and Austria Vienna's ratings add 23 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- WSG Wattens's ratings16%−27
- Austria Vienna's ratings39%+23
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
WSG Wattens at home · Austria Vienna away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
WSG WattensAustria Vienna
WSG Wattens are 7th after 10 Bundesliga matches (between 3rd and 11th so far); Austria Vienna are 11th after 10 (between 8th and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: WSG Wattens 10, Austria Vienna 10.
WSG Wattens score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Austria Vienna have let in 3 there.
Austria Vienna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); WSG Wattens have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
WSG Wattens
- vs Austria Lustenau21 Nov · Bundesligawin 51%
- at Sturm Graz29 Nov · Bundesligawin 14%
- at Ried6 Dec · Bundesligawin 25%
- vs SCR Altach12 Dec · Bundesligawin 41%
Austria Vienna
- vs Red Bull Salzburg22 Nov · Bundesligawin 21%
- vs Wolfsberger AC28 Nov · Bundesligawin 51%
- at Sturm Graz6 Dec · Bundesligawin 15%
- at Lask Linz13 Dec · Bundesligawin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.