Regular Season - 16 · 20 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Botosani vs FC Voluntari Liga I prediction

Stadionul Municipal

Our model says: FC Botosani 2–1 FC Voluntari

The model makes it 57% FC Botosani, 23% draw, 20% FC Voluntari — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: FC Botosani 2.10, FC Voluntari 1.03.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to FC Botosani: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 6 November 2026 · updated 11 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. FC Botosani's rating is built from 55 Romanian Liga I matches and FC Voluntari's from 17, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.

Key facts

FC Botosani are 12th on 15 points from 15 games; FC Voluntari are 15th on 8 points from 15 games — Liga I.
FC Botosani are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Oțelul.
FC Voluntari have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Last 6 meetings: FC Voluntari 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 17 July 2026, ended FC Voluntari 2–2 FC Botosani.

More Romanian Liga I predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: FC Botosani vs FC Voluntari

57%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

FC Botosani win Draw FC Voluntari win

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
2–25%

Scores read FC Botosani first; the other scorelines share the remaining 42%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Botosani at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into FC Botosani vs FC Voluntari

FC Botosani

Liga I

D1-1Oțelul9 November 2026
L1-2away to Universitatea Craiova1 November 2026
L1-3Petrolul Ploiesti23 October 2026
L0-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti16 October 2026
W2-0Uta Arad10 October 2026

FC Voluntari

Liga I

L1-2away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe8 November 2026
L1-2Farul Constanta2 November 2026
L1-2away to Csikszereda24 October 2026
L1-2FCSB19 October 2026
L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026

What these results say

FC Botosani failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
FC Botosani scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
FC Botosani conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
FC Voluntari did not win any of these 5 matches.
FC Voluntari scored in every one of these 5 matches.
FC Voluntari conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	19	20	-1	15
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	15	33	-18	8

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

FC Botosani

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 16% today

Win 12%

Draw 19%

Defeat 26%

FC Voluntari

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 94% today

Win 89%

Draw 94%

Defeat 96%

From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs FC Voluntari

17 July 2026FC Voluntari 2–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
4 May 2024FC Botosani 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
12 November 2023FC Botosani 3–3 FC VoluntariLiga I
17 July 2023FC Voluntari 2–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
12 May 2023FC Voluntari 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
4 November 2022FC Botosani 0–1 FC VoluntariLiga I

Leading scorers: FC Botosani and FC Voluntari

FC Botosani

GoalsAssists

A. Dumiter70

FC Voluntari

GoalsAssists

R. Guțea60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

FC Botosani FC Voluntari

0.61 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.56

1.66 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 2.31

2.10 Model expected goals (this match) 1.03

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Botosani the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.10 expected goals for FC Botosani against 1.03 for FC Voluntari. FC Botosani's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/2.31 for FC Voluntari.

How the model reaches 57% for FC Botosani to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Botosani to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, FC Botosani's ratings add 5 points and FC Voluntari's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 57%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage43%+7
Both sides at this match's level45%+2
FC Botosani's ratings50%+5
FC Voluntari's ratings57%+7

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

FC BotosaniModelFC Voluntari

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

82%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

40%

4 of 10 games

61%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

30%

3 of 10 games

38%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

50%

5 of 10 games

57%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

FC BotosaniFC Voluntari

15Matches15

3W 6D 6LRecord2W 2D 11L

19 1.3 per gameGoals scored15 1.0 per game

20 1.3 per gameGoals conceded33 2.2 per game

5 of 15Clean sheets2 of 15

3 of 15Failed to score3 of 15

4 of 5Penalties scored2 of 2

39 2.6 per gameYellow cards31 2.1 per game

4Red cards2

4-3-3 13×Usual shape4-4-2 6×

FC Botosani at home · FC Voluntari away

7Played7

3W 3D 1LRecord0W 0D 7L

11–5Goals for – against6–21

4 of 7Clean sheets0 of 7

League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

FC BotosaniFC Voluntari

FC Botosani are 12th after 15 Liga I matches (between 2nd and 14th so far); FC Voluntari are 15th after 15 (between 3rd and 15th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Liga I matches this season: FC Botosani 15, FC Voluntari 15.

FC Botosani scored 433243

FC Voluntari conceded 575448

FC Voluntari scored 331422

FC Botosani conceded 152335

FC Voluntari score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); FC Botosani have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

FC Botosani

at Rapid28 Nov · Liga Iwin 19%
vs Universitatea Cluj5 Dec · Liga Iwin 33%
at Corvinul Hunedoara12 Dec · Liga Iwin 26%
vs FCSB19 Dec · Liga Iwin 38%
at Csikszereda16 Jan · Liga Iwin 39%

FC Voluntari

vs CFR 1907 Cluj28 Nov · Liga Iwin 26%
at Uta Arad5 Dec · Liga Iwin 20%
vs Dinamo Bucuresti12 Dec · Liga Iwin 18%
at Petrolul Ploiesti19 Dec · Liga Iwin 19%
vs Universitatea Craiova16 Jan · Liga Iwin 13%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.