Farul Constanta
vs
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Farul Constanta 1–2 Universitatea Cluj
The model makes it 36% Farul Constanta, 26% draw, 38% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Farul Constanta 1.48, Universitatea Cluj 1.54.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
A tight game: Farul Constanta and Universitatea Cluj are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Farul Constanta's rating is built from 56 Romanian Liga I matches and Universitatea Cluj's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- Farul Constanta are 6th on 24 points from 15 games; Universitatea Cluj are 5th on 26 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- Farul Constanta are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Rapid.
- Universitatea Cluj are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Csikszereda.
- Last 6 meetings: Universitatea Cluj 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 19 July 2026, ended Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Farul Constanta.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj
Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Cluj at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj
Farul Constanta
Liga I
- D1-1Rapid7 November 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari2 November 2026
- W4-3Oțelul25 October 2026
- L0-2away to Universitatea Craiova18 October 2026
- W3-1Petrolul Ploiesti11 October 2026
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I
- D0-0away to Csikszereda7 November 2026
- W1-0FCSB2 November 2026
- W3-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara23 October 2026
- D2-2Arges Pitesti19 October 2026
- L3-4Rapid12 October 2026
What these results say
- Farul Constanta conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Farul Constanta.
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Farul Constanta
Chance to finish in the top six · 49% today
Universitatea Cluj
Chance to finish in the top six · 83% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj
- 19 July 2026Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 21 December 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 18 August 2025Farul Constanta 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 7 March 2025Farul Constanta 1–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 3 November 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 28 February 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers: Farul Constanta and Universitatea Cluj
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- M. Ahlinvi71
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- J. Lukić73
- A. Aliev62
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Farul Constanta a 0.1% chance of the title and Universitatea Cluj 1.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Cluj the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Farul Constanta against 1.54 for Universitatea Cluj. Farul Constanta's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.71 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.44 for Universitatea Cluj.
How the model reaches 38% for Universitatea Cluj to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Universitatea Cluj to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, Farul Constanta's ratings add 4 points and Universitatea Cluj's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage29%−6
- Farul Constanta's ratings33%+4
- Universitatea Cluj's ratings38%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Farul Constanta at home · Universitatea Cluj away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Farul ConstantaUniversitatea Cluj
Farul Constanta are 6th after 15 Liga I matches (between 3rd and 13th so far); Universitatea Cluj are 5th after 15 (between 3rd and 14th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Farul Constanta 15, Universitatea Cluj 15.
Farul Constanta score most often in the 16–30 minute window (9 goals); Universitatea Cluj have let in 3 there.
Universitatea Cluj score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Farul Constanta have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Farul Constanta
- at Corvinul Hunedoara28 Nov · Liga Iwin 29%
- vs FCSB5 Dec · Liga Iwin 41%
- at Csikszereda12 Dec · Liga Iwin 42%
- vs Arges Pitesti19 Dec · Liga Iwin 46%
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe16 Jan · Liga Iwin 54%
Universitatea Cluj
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe28 Nov · Liga Iwin 63%
- at FC Botosani5 Dec · Liga Iwin 40%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj12 Dec · Liga Iwin 47%
- at Uta Arad19 Dec · Liga Iwin 38%
- vs Dinamo Bucuresti16 Jan · Liga Iwin 38%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.