CR Khemis Zemamra
vs
Widad Témara
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: CR Khemis Zemamra 0–1 Widad Témara
The model makes it 29% CR Khemis Zemamra, 29% draw, 42% Widad Témara — fair odds of 3.45, 3.45 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: CR Khemis Zemamra 1.09, Widad Témara 1.43.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,236 settled matches.
Edge to Widad Témara: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. CR Khemis Zemamra's rating is built from 34 Botola Pro matches and Widad Témara's from 5, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 521 matches.
Key facts
- CR Khemis Zemamra are bottom on 1 point from 4 games; Widad Témara are 8th on 6 points from 5 games — Botola Pro.
- CR Khemis Zemamra have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Renaissance Berkane.
- Widad Témara have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Moghreb Tetouan.
- Last 4 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 18 June 2023, ended CR Khemis Zemamra 3–0 Widad Témara.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Widad Témara at 42% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 2,217 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara
CR Khemis Zemamra
Botola Pro
- D2-2away to Renaissance Berkane13 October 2026
- L2-5Hassania Agadir8 October 2026
- L0-1away to Raja Casablanca3 October 2026
- L1-2away to Maghreb Fès27 September 2026
Widad Témara
Botola Pro
- W3-0away to Moghreb Tetouan24 October 2026
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech18 October 2026
- L0-1away to FAR Rabat8 October 2026
- L0-1UTS Rabat2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Wydad AC26 September 2026
What these results say
- CR Khemis Zemamra did not win any of these 4 matches.
- CR Khemis Zemamra conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- CR Khemis Zemamra scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Widad Témara conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Widad Témara | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara
- 18 June 2023CR Khemis Zemamra 3–0 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 7 January 2023Widad Témara 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola 2
- 16 March 2019CR Khemis Zemamra 0–1 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 10 November 2018Widad Témara 0–1 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola 2
The two sides
CR Khemis Zemamra carry a model rating of 6.21 against 6.39 for Widad Témara. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.09 goals for CR Khemis Zemamra and 1.43 for Widad Témara. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CR Khemis Zemamra rate 0.58 in attack and 2.11 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Widad Témara rate 0.60 and 1.52.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Widad Témara the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.09 expected goals for CR Khemis Zemamra against 1.43 for Widad Témara. CR Khemis Zemamra's attack/defence rating is 0.58/2.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.52 for Widad Témara.
How the model reaches 42% for Widad Témara to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Widad Témara to win. Then home advantage takes away 2 points, CR Khemis Zemamra's ratings add 35 points and Widad Témara's ratings take away 26 points, which lands on the published 42%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage33%−2
- CR Khemis Zemamra's ratings68%+35
- Widad Témara's ratings42%−26
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
CR Khemis Zemamra at home · Widad Témara away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CR Khemis ZemamraWidad Témara
CR Khemis Zemamra are 16th after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 12th and 16th so far); Widad Témara are 8th after 5 (between 3rd and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: CR Khemis Zemamra 4, Widad Témara 5.
CR Khemis Zemamra score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Widad Témara have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.