Al Wahda FC
vs
Al Ain
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Wahda FC 0–1 Al Ain
The model makes it 25% Al Wahda FC, 27% draw, 48% Al Ain — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Al Wahda FC 1.07, Al Ain 1.68.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,236 settled matches.
Edge to Al Ain: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Al Wahda FC's rating is built from 32 UAE Pro League matches and Al Ain's from 32, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 406 matches.
Key facts
- Al Wahda FC are 5th on 12 points from 6 games; Al Ain are 4th on 13 points from 6 games — Pro League.
- Al Wahda FC are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-2 win away to Khorfakkan.
- Al Ain have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 May 2026, ended Al Ain 0–0 Al Wahda FC.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ain at 48% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 2,217 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
Al Wahda FC
Pro League
- W3-2away to Khorfakkan18 October 2026
- W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
- W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Al Nasr21 August 2026
Al Ain
Pro League
- L0-2away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai17 October 2026
- D2-2Al-Wasl FC10 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba4 September 2026
- W2-1Al Nasr29 August 2026
- W2-0Khorfakkan22 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Wahda FC won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Wahda FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Ain scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Wahda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Ain | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain
- 1 May 2026Al Ain 0–0 Al Wahda FCLeague Cup
- 17 March 2026Al Wahda FC 0–1 Al AinPro League
- 17 January 2026Al Ain 2–2 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 27 February 2025Al Wahda FC 2–1 Al AinPro League
- 6 October 2024Al Ain 1–2 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 20 May 2024Al Wahda FC 0–2 Al AinPro League
Leading scorers: Al Wahda FC and Al Ain
Al Wahda FC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Al Ain
GoalsAssists
- Abdoul Karim Traoré20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Al Wahda FC carry a model rating of 6.45 against 6.72 for Al Ain. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.07 goals for Al Wahda FC and 1.68 for Al Ain. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al Wahda FC rate 0.58 in attack and 1.32 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al Ain rate 0.84 and 1.10.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al Wahda FC a 1.5% chance of the title and Al Ain 26.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Ain the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Al Wahda FC against 1.68 for Al Ain. Al Wahda FC's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.1 for Al Ain.
How the model reaches 48% for Al Ain to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al Ain to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al Wahda FC's ratings add 22 points and Al Ain's ratings take away 8 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al Wahda FC's ratings56%+22
- Al Ain's ratings48%−8
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al Wahda FC at home · Al Ain away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Wahda FC 6, Al Ain 6.
Al Wahda FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Al Ain have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Al Wahda FC
- at Dubai United21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 46%
- vs Al-Wasl FC3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 30%
- at Al-Ittihad Kalba13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 45%
- at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai25 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 21%
Al Ain
- vs Al-Dhafra19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 67%
- vs Esteghlal FC23 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 47%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.