CR Khemis Zemamra
vs
FUS Rabat
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: CR Khemis Zemamra 1–0 FUS Rabat
The model makes it 36% CR Khemis Zemamra, 30% draw, 34% FUS Rabat — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: CR Khemis Zemamra 1.20, FUS Rabat 1.14.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 919 settled matches.
A tight game: CR Khemis Zemamra and FUS Rabat are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. CR Khemis Zemamra's rating is built from 34 Botola Pro matches and FUS Rabat's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- CR Khemis Zemamra are bottom on 1 point from 4 games; FUS Rabat are 15th on 2 points from 4 games — Botola Pro.
- CR Khemis Zemamra have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Renaissance Berkane.
- FUS Rabat have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Raja Casablanca.
- Last 6 meetings: FUS Rabat 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 July 2026, ended CR Khemis Zemamra 1–1 FUS Rabat.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CR Khemis Zemamra at 36% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 3,359 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat
CR Khemis Zemamra
- D2-2away to Renaissance Berkane13 October 2026
- L2-5Hassania Agadir8 October 2026
- L0-1away to Raja Casablanca3 October 2026
- L1-2away to Maghreb Fès27 September 2026
FUS Rabat
- D1-1Raja Casablanca13 October 2026
- D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan9 October 2026
- L0-1Amal Tiznit2 October 2026
- L1-2away to UTS Rabat26 September 2026
What these results say
- CR Khemis Zemamra did not win any of these 4 matches.
- CR Khemis Zemamra conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- CR Khemis Zemamra scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FUS Rabat did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FUS Rabat conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FUS Rabat had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | FUS Rabat | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CR Khemis Zemamra vs FUS Rabat
- 2 July 2026CR Khemis Zemamra 1–1 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 1 March 2026FUS Rabat 3–2 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 28 February 2025FUS Rabat 3–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 27 October 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 3–1 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 28 April 2024FUS Rabat 0–2 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 17 December 2023CR Khemis Zemamra 1–2 FUS RabatBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
CR Khemis Zemamra carry a model rating of 6.21 against 6.23 for FUS Rabat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for CR Khemis Zemamra and 1.14 for FUS Rabat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CR Khemis Zemamra rate 0.58 in attack and 2.12 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FUS Rabat rate 0.48 and 1.67.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FUS Rabat, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Khemis Zemamra the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for CR Khemis Zemamra against 1.14 for FUS Rabat. CR Khemis Zemamra's attack/defence rating is 0.58/2.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.67 for FUS Rabat.
Season stats
CR Khemis Zemamra at home · FUS Rabat away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CR Khemis ZemamraFUS Rabat
CR Khemis Zemamra are 16th after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 12th and 16th so far); FUS Rabat are 15th after 4 (between 14th and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: CR Khemis Zemamra 4, FUS Rabat 4.
CR Khemis Zemamra score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); FUS Rabat have let in 1 there.
FUS Rabat score most often in the 61–75 minute window (2 goals); CR Khemis Zemamra have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
CR Khemis Zemamra
- at Ittihad Tanger1 Nov · Botola Prowin 26%
- vs Widad Témara8 Nov · Botola Prowin 34%
FUS Rabat
- vs Hassania Agadir31 Oct · Botola Prowin 33%
- at Maghreb Fès7 Nov · Botola Prowin 21%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.