Cobresal
vs
Everton de Vina
Primera División prediction
Our model says: Cobresal 1–2 Everton de Vina
The model makes it 34% Cobresal, 26% draw, 40% Everton de Vina — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Cobresal 1.47, Everton de Vina 1.61.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Everton de Vina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Cobresal are 14th on 25 points from 24 games; Everton de Vina are 4th on 39 points from 24 games — Primera División.
- Cobresal have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Universidad de Concepcion.
- Everton de Vina have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-2 win at home to Deportes La Serena.
- Last 6 meetings: Everton de Vina 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 26 April 2026, ended Everton de Vina 3–1 Cobresal.
More Chilean Primera División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Cobresal vs Everton de Vina
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Everton de Vina at 40% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Cobresal vs Everton de Vina
Cobresal
- D1-1Universidad de Concepcion10 October 2026
- W3-2Coquimbo Unido12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Deportes Limache7 September 2026
- W2-0Palestino28 August 2026
- D3-3away to Deportes La Serena23 August 2026
Everton de Vina
- W3-2Deportes La Serena11 October 2026
- W3-1away to Nublense12 September 2026
- L0-1Universidad Catolica5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Deportes Limache29 August 2026
- W3-1Universidad de Concepcion24 August 2026
What these results say
- Cobresal scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cobresal conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Everton de Vina won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Everton de Vina scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Everton de Vina conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 25 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Cobresal vs Everton de Vina
- 26 April 2026Everton de Vina 3–1 CobresalPrimera División
- 9 November 2025Cobresal 1–2 Everton de VinaPrimera División
- 24 May 2025Everton de Vina 2–2 CobresalPrimera División
- 5 October 2024Cobresal 2–1 Everton de VinaPrimera División
- 12 May 2024Everton de Vina 3–3 CobresalPrimera División
- 28 August 2023Everton de Vina 2–2 CobresalPrimera División
Leading scorers: Cobresal and Everton de Vina
Cobresal
GoalsAssists
- S. Pino71
Everton de Vina
GoalsAssists
- A. Medina123
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Cobresal carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.51 for Everton de Vina. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.47 goals for Cobresal and 1.61 for Everton de Vina. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Cobresal rate 0.63 in attack and 1.82 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Everton de Vina rate 0.71 and 1.39.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Everton de Vina the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Cobresal against 1.61 for Everton de Vina. Cobresal's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.39 for Everton de Vina.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Cobresal at home · Everton de Vina away
League matches only, Primera División, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Primera División matches this season: Cobresal 24, Everton de Vina 23.
Cobresal score most often in the 46–60 minute window (10 goals); Everton de Vina have let in 8 there.
Everton de Vina score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Cobresal have let in 10 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Cobresal
- at Universidad de Chile8 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 13%
- vs Audax Italiano22 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 42%
- at Nublense29 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 31%
- vs Colo Colo6 Dec · Primera Divisiónwin 30%
Everton de Vina
- vs Concepción8 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 44%
- at Coquimbo Unido22 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 29%
- vs O'Higgins29 Nov · Primera Divisiónwin 54%
- at Palestino6 Dec · Primera Divisiónwin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.