Chadormalu SC
vs
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Chadormalu SC 2–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak
The model makes it 70% Chadormalu SC, 18% draw, 12% Mes Shahr-e Babak — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (9%).
Expected goals: Chadormalu SC 2.90, Mes Shahr-e Babak 0.98.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 74%, under 2.5: 26%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Chadormalu SC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Chadormalu SC's rating is built from 36 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Mes Shahr-e Babak's from 12, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Chadormalu SC are 8th on 17 points from 12 games; Mes Shahr-e Babak are bottom on 5 points from 12 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Chadormalu SC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Foolad FC.
- Mes Shahr-e Babak have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Aluminium Arak.
- Last 4 meetings: Chadormalu SC 2 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 February 2024, ended Mes Shahr-e Babak 0–1 Chadormalu SC.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Chadormalu SC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
Has the model earned this number?
Chadormalu SC at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Chadormalu SC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
Chadormalu SC
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D1-1Foolad FC6 November 2026
- W2-1away to Malavan30 October 2026
- D1-1Esteghlal FC23 October 2026
- W2-1away to ZOB Ahan18 October 2026
- D2-2Kheybar Khorramabad9 October 2026
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L0-1away to Aluminium Arak6 November 2026
- L1-3Paykan31 October 2026
- L0-4away to Sepahan FC25 October 2026
- L0-3Persepolis FC19 October 2026
- L1-2away to Foolad FC8 October 2026
What these results say
- Chadormalu SC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Chadormalu SC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Chadormalu SC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mes Shahr-e Babak did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Mes Shahr-e Babak conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mes Shahr-e Babak had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chadormalu SC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 99% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Chadormalu SC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
- 20 February 2024Mes Shahr-e Babak 0–1 Chadormalu SCAzadegan League
- 17 September 2023Chadormalu SC 1–0 Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League
- 15 April 2023Chadormalu SC 1–1 Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League
- 6 November 2022Mes Shahr-e Babak 2–0 Chadormalu SCAzadegan League
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Chadormalu SC the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.90 expected goals for Chadormalu SC against 0.98 for Mes Shahr-e Babak. Chadormalu SC's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/2.55 for Mes Shahr-e Babak.
How the model reaches 70% for Chadormalu SC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Chadormalu SC to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Chadormalu SC's ratings add 12 points and Mes Shahr-e Babak's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 70%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level46%+2
- Chadormalu SC's ratings58%+12
- Mes Shahr-e Babak's ratings70%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Chadormalu SC at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Chadormalu SC 12, Mes Shahr-e Babak 12.
Chadormalu SC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Mes Shahr-e Babak have let in 4 there.
Mes Shahr-e Babak score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Chadormalu SC have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Chadormalu SC
- at Nassaji Mazandaran4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 34%
- vs Paykan18 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 51%
- at Persepolis FC25 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 20%
Mes Shahr-e Babak
- vs Gol Gohar4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 24%
- at Shams Azar Qazvin17 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 19%
- vs Esteghlal Khuzestan23 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 31%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.