Persepolis FC
vs
Paykan
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Persepolis FC 2–0 Paykan
The model makes it 61% Persepolis FC, 23% draw, 16% Paykan — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Persepolis FC 2.16, Paykan 0.89.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Persepolis FC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Persepolis FC's rating is built from 35 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Paykan's from 35, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Persepolis FC are 2nd on 23 points from 12 games; Paykan are 11th on 14 points from 12 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Persepolis FC have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Fajr Sepasi.
- Paykan are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Nassaji Mazandaran.
- Last 6 meetings: Persepolis FC 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 9 December 2025, ended Paykan 0–1 Persepolis FC.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Persepolis FC vs Paykan
Has the model earned this number?
Persepolis FC at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Persepolis FC vs Paykan
Persepolis FC
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L1-2Fajr Sepasi6 November 2026
- W1-0away to Nassaji Mazandaran31 October 2026
- L0-1Foolad FC25 October 2026
- W3-0away to Mes Shahr-e Babak19 October 2026
- D0-0away to Kheybar Khorramabad14 October 2026
Paykan
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D1-1Nassaji Mazandaran7 November 2026
- W3-1away to Mes Shahr-e Babak31 October 2026
- D1-1Malavan25 October 2026
- L0-2away to Fajr Sepasi19 October 2026
- D1-1Shams Azar Qazvin10 October 2026
What these results say
- Paykan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Paykan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Paykan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 23 |
| 11 | Paykan | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Persepolis FC
Chance to finish in the top two · 26% today
Paykan
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 15% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Persepolis FC vs Paykan
- 9 December 2025Paykan 0–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 17 March 2024Persepolis FC 2–0 PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 19 October 2023Paykan 1–3 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 May 2023Paykan 0–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 25 December 2022Persepolis FC 0–0 PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 4 May 2022Persepolis FC 2–0 PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League
Leading scorers: Persepolis FC and Paykan
Persepolis FC
GoalsAssists
- I. Sergeev10
Paykan
No player in Persian Gulf Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Persepolis FC a 9.9% chance of the title and Paykan 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Persepolis FC the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.16 expected goals for Persepolis FC against 0.89 for Paykan. Persepolis FC's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.66 for Paykan.
How the model reaches 61% for Persepolis FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Persepolis FC to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Persepolis FC's ratings add 9 points and Paykan's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Persepolis FC's ratings53%+9
- Paykan's ratings61%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Persepolis FC at home · Paykan away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Persepolis FC 12, Paykan 12.
Persepolis FC score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Paykan have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Persepolis FC
- at Aluminium Arak27 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 40%
- vs Sepahan FC4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs Gol Gohar19 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 55%
- vs Chadormalu SC25 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 57%
Paykan
- vs Foolad FC27 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 31%
- at Aluminium Arak4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 26%
- at Chadormalu SC18 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 24%
- vs Sepahan FC24 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 23%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.