Mes Shahr-e Babak
vs
Tractor Sazi
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Mes Shahr-e Babak 0–2 Tractor Sazi
The model makes it 11% Mes Shahr-e Babak, 20% draw, 69% Tractor Sazi — fair odds of 9.09, 5.00 and 1.45.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (13%).
Expected goals: Mes Shahr-e Babak 0.70, Tractor Sazi 2.41.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Tractor Sazi are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Mes Shahr-e Babak's rating is built from 12 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Tractor Sazi's from 31, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Mes Shahr-e Babak are bottom on 5 points from 12 games; Tractor Sazi are 3rd on 23 points from 11 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Mes Shahr-e Babak have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Aluminium Arak.
- Tractor Sazi are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Kheybar Khorramabad.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Tractor Sazi
Has the model earned this number?
Tractor Sazi at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Tractor Sazi
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L0-1away to Aluminium Arak6 November 2026
- L1-3Paykan31 October 2026
- L0-4away to Sepahan FC25 October 2026
- L0-3Persepolis FC19 October 2026
- L1-2away to Foolad FC8 October 2026
Tractor Sazi
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W2-0Kheybar Khorramabad7 November 2026
- W3-0Sanat Naft22 October 2026
- D1-1Esteghlal FC8 October 2026
- L0-1away to Esteghlal Khuzestan10 September 2026
- W1-0Gol Gohar5 September 2026
What these results say
- Mes Shahr-e Babak did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Mes Shahr-e Babak conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mes Shahr-e Babak had three goals or more.
- Tractor Sazi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Tractor Sazi had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 5 |
| 3 | Tractor Sazi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 99% today
Tractor Sazi
Chance to finish in the top two · 63% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Mes Shahr-e Babak a 0% chance of the title and Tractor Sazi 33.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Tractor Sazi the highest probability at 69%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.70 expected goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak against 2.41 for Tractor Sazi. Mes Shahr-e Babak's attack/defence rating is 0.47/2.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/0.92 for Tractor Sazi.
How the model reaches 69% for Tractor Sazi to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Tractor Sazi to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Mes Shahr-e Babak's ratings add 21 points and Tractor Sazi's ratings add 19 points, which lands on the published 69%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Mes Shahr-e Babak's ratings50%+21
- Tractor Sazi's ratings69%+19
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Mes Shahr-e Babak at home · Tractor Sazi away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Mes Shahr-e Babak 12, Tractor Sazi 10.
Mes Shahr-e Babak score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Tractor Sazi have let in 0 there.
Tractor Sazi score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Mes Shahr-e Babak have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Mes Shahr-e Babak
- at Chadormalu SC26 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Gol Gohar4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 24%
- at Shams Azar Qazvin17 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 19%
- vs Esteghlal Khuzestan23 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 31%
Tractor Sazi
- vs Al-Wasl FC23 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 54%
- vs ZOB Ahan28 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 65%
- at Foolad FC2 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Pakhtakor7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 58%
- at Fajr Sepasi12 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.