Malavan
vs
Gol Gohar
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Malavan 1–2 Gol Gohar
The model makes it 33% Malavan, 27% draw, 40% Gol Gohar — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Malavan 1.32, Gol Gohar 1.52.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Gol Gohar: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Malavan's rating is built from 31 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and Gol Gohar's from 35, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Malavan are 15th on 10 points from 12 games; Gol Gohar are 9th on 14 points from 11 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Malavan have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat away to Sepahan FC.
- Gol Gohar are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to ZOB Ahan.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 3 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 3 February 2026, ended Gol Gohar 1–0 Malavan.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Malavan vs Gol Gohar
Has the model earned this number?
Gol Gohar at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Malavan vs Gol Gohar
Malavan
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L0-4away to Sepahan FC6 November 2026
- L1-2Chadormalu SC30 October 2026
- D1-1away to Paykan25 October 2026
- L1-2Foolad FC13 October 2026
- D1-1away to Aluminium Arak8 October 2026
Gol Gohar
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D0-0ZOB Ahan8 November 2026
- L0-1Kheybar Khorramabad23 October 2026
- L0-1away to Esteghlal FC19 October 2026
- W3-0Esteghlal Khuzestan8 October 2026
- W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026
What these results say
- Malavan did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Malavan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Malavan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Malavan | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | Gol Gohar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Malavan
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 61% today
Gol Gohar
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 2% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Malavan vs Gol Gohar
- 3 February 2026Gol Gohar 1–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 19 September 2025Malavan 0–2 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 23 May 2025Gol Gohar 0–1 MalavanHazfi Cup
- 20 January 2025Gol Gohar 1–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 15 August 2024Malavan 1–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 7 March 2024Malavan 1–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gol Gohar the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Malavan against 1.52 for Gol Gohar. Malavan's attack/defence rating is 0.55/2.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.47 for Gol Gohar.
How the model reaches 40% for Gol Gohar to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Gol Gohar to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Malavan's ratings add 6 points and Gol Gohar's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Malavan's ratings35%+6
- Gol Gohar's ratings40%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Malavan at home · Gol Gohar away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Malavan 11, Gol Gohar 11.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Malavan
- at Esteghlal Khuzestan27 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 25%
- vs Shams Azar Qazvin5 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 41%
- at Kheybar Khorramabad18 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 20%
- vs Esteghlal FC23 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 22%
Gol Gohar
- vs Fajr Sepasi30 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 48%
- at Mes Shahr-e Babak4 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 50%
- at Sanat Naft14 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Persepolis FC19 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 20%
- at Foolad FC25 Dec · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 23%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.