Bodo/Glimt
vs
Viking
Eliteserien prediction
Our model says: Bodo/Glimt 2–1 Viking
The model makes it 43% Bodo/Glimt, 26% draw, 31% Viking — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 1.76, Viking 1.43.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Bodo/Glimt are 2nd on 53 points from 22 games; Viking are top on 53 points from 22 games — Eliteserien.
- Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to Kristiansund BK.
- Viking are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to Brann.
- Last 6 meetings: Viking 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 April 2026, ended Viking 5–0 Bodo/Glimt.
More Eliteserien predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Bodo/Glimt vs Viking
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Viking
Bodo/Glimt
- W3-1Kristiansund BK10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Brann20 September 2026
- W3-2Sandefjord14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
Viking
- W2-0away to Brann9 October 2026
- W3-0Lillestrom20 September 2026
- W8-1Kristiansund BK13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
What these results say
- Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bodo/Glimt conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.
- Viking went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Viking won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | +36 | 53 |
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | +36 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Viking
- 11 April 2026Viking 5–0 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 19 July 2025Viking 2–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 28 May 2025Bodo/Glimt 2–4 VikingEliteserien
- 10 August 2024Viking 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 6 April 2024Bodo/Glimt 1–0 VikingEliteserien
- 6 August 2023Viking 3–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Viking
Bodo/Glimt
GoalsAssists
- A. Helmersen121
- K. Høgh74
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen126
- S. Kvia-Egeskog82
- H. Heggheim63
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Bodo/Glimt carry a model rating of 6.95 against 6.96 for Viking. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.76 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.43 for Viking. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Bodo/Glimt rate 1.13 in attack and 0.92 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Viking rate 1.09 and 0.87.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Viking, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bodo/Glimt a 51% chance of the title and Viking 49%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,821 correct results out of 3,803 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bodo/Glimt the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt against 1.43 for Viking. Bodo/Glimt's attack/defence rating is 1.13/0.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.09/0.87 for Viking.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Bodo/Glimt at home · Viking away
League matches only, Eliteserien, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eliteserien matches this season: Bodo/Glimt 22, Viking 22.
Viking score most often in the 0–15 minute window (14 goals); Bodo/Glimt have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Bodo/Glimt
- vs Lille3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 40%
- at Tromso8 Nov · Eliteserienwin 48%
Viking
- vs Sabah FA4 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 52%
- vs KFUM Oslo8 Nov · Eliteserienwin 69%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.