Regular Season - 16 · 27 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Artis vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction

Town Stadium Karvina, Brno

Our model says: Artis 2–1 Slovácko

The model makes it 38% Artis, 27% draw, 35% Slovácko — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Artis 1.52, Slovácko 1.42.

Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.

Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,308 settled matches.

A tight game: Artis and Slovácko are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.

Published 13 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Artis's rating is built from 16 Czech Liga matches and Slovácko's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.

Key facts

Artis are 14th on 10 points from 14 games; Slovácko are 15th on 10 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
Artis are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Slavia Praha.
Slovácko have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Zlin.
Last 3 meetings: Slovácko 2 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 1 August 2026, ended Slovácko 1–1 Artis.

More Czech Liga predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Artis vs Slovácko

60%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Artis win Draw Slovácko win

1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
2–06%

Scores read Artis first; the other scorelines share the remaining 44%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Artis at 38%: of 4,766 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Artis vs Slovácko

Artis

Czech Liga

L1-4away to Slavia Praha8 November 2026
L1-2Bohemians 19054 November 2026
D2-2Zlin31 October 2026
D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026

Slovácko

Czech Liga

W1-0away to Zlin7 November 2026
L1-3Teplice31 October 2026
L1-5away to Sparta Praha25 October 2026
L1-2Zbrojovka Brno18 October 2026
W2-0away to Slovan Liberec11 October 2026

What these results say

Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Artis scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Slovácko scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Artis	14	2	4	8	15	28	-13	10
15	Slovácko	14	2	4	8	13	26	-13	10

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Artis vs Slovácko

1 August 2026Slovácko 1–1 ArtisCzech Liga
31 May 2026Slovácko 3–0 ArtisCzech Liga
27 May 2026Artis 1–4 SlováckoCzech Liga

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Artis Slovácko

0.68 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.66

1.68 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.48

1.52 Model expected goals (this match) 1.42

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Artis the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Artis against 1.42 for Slovácko. Artis's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.48 for Slovácko.

How the model reaches 38% for Artis to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Artis to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Artis's ratings take away 1 point and Slovácko's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 38%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage41%+5
Artis's ratings40%−1
Slovácko's ratings38%−2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

ArtisModelSlovácko

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

80%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

56%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

40%

4 of 10 games

34%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

60%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

ArtisSlovácko

14Matches14

2W 4D 8LRecord2W 4D 8L

15 1.1 per gameGoals scored13 0.9 per game

28 2.0 per gameGoals conceded26 1.9 per game

2 of 14Clean sheets3 of 14

5 of 14Failed to score3 of 14

–Penalties scored–

26 1.9 per gameYellow cards26 1.9 per game

3Red cards6

4-2-3-1 12×Usual shape3-4-2-1 14×

Artis at home · Slovácko away

7Played8

0W 2D 5LRecord2W 1D 5L

6–17Goals for – against7–16

1 of 7Clean sheets2 of 8

League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

ArtisSlovácko

Artis are 14th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 10th and 15th so far); Slovácko are 15th after 14 (between 11th and 16th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Czech Liga matches this season: Artis 14, Slovácko 14.

Artis scored 122335

Slovácko conceded 337374

Artis score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Slovácko have let in 4 there.

Slovácko scored 201314

Artis conceded 646353

Slovácko score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Artis have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Artis

at Sigma Olomouc5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 20%
vs Baník Ostrava12 Dec · Czech Ligawin 36%
at Sparta Praha30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 9%
vs Pardubice6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 27%

Slovácko

vs FK Jablonec5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 34%
at Sigma Olomouc13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 22%
vs Mlada Boleslav30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 26%
vs Plzen6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 19%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.