Sigma Olomouc
vs
Slavia Praha
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Sigma Olomouc 0–2 Slavia Praha
The model makes it 17% Sigma Olomouc, 22% draw, 61% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 5.88, 4.55 and 1.64.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Sigma Olomouc 0.95, Slavia Praha 2.25.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Slavia Praha are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Sigma Olomouc's rating is built from 48 Czech Liga matches and Slavia Praha's from 48, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.
Key facts
- Sigma Olomouc are 5th on 24 points from 14 games; Slavia Praha are top on 34 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
- Sigma Olomouc have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-5 defeat away to Hradec Králové.
- Slavia Praha are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 4-1 win at home to Artis.
- Last 6 meetings: Slavia Praha 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 25 April 2026, ended Slavia Praha 2–1 Sigma Olomouc.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc
Czech Liga
- L0-5away to Hradec Králové7 November 2026
- W3-0Zbrojovka Brno31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Zlin24 October 2026
- W1-0Slovan Liberec17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Teplice11 October 2026
Slavia Praha
Czech Liga
- W4-1Artis8 November 2026
- W5-0away to FK Jablonec31 October 2026
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav24 October 2026
- D0-0Hradec Králové17 October 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin9 October 2026
What these results say
- Sigma Olomouc scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Praha went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Slavia Praha scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sigma Olomouc
Chance to finish in the top ten · 91% today
Slavia Praha
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 96% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha
- 25 April 2026Slavia Praha 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 26 October 2025Sigma Olomouc 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 26 April 2025Sigma Olomouc 0–5 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 8 April 2025Slavia Praha 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCup
- 8 December 2024Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 10 August 2024Slavia Praha 2–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Slavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc
GoalsAssists
- V. Sejk63
- A. Ghali42
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sigma Olomouc a 0.1% chance of the title and Slavia Praha 96%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Sigma Olomouc v Slavia Praha has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 20% / 25% / 55% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 17% / 22% / 61%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Sigma Olomouc win17%▼ −3
- Draw22%▼ −3
- Slavia Praha win61%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slavia Praha the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.95 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc against 2.25 for Slavia Praha. Sigma Olomouc's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.36/0.71 for Slavia Praha.
How the model reaches 61% for Slavia Praha to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Slavia Praha to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Sigma Olomouc's ratings add 14 points and Slavia Praha's ratings add 15 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage32%−4
- Sigma Olomouc's ratings46%+14
- Slavia Praha's ratings61%+15
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sigma Olomouc at home · Slavia Praha away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Sigma OlomoucSlavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc are 5th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 2nd and 11th so far); Slavia Praha are 1st after 14 (between 1st and 1st). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Sigma Olomouc 14, Slavia Praha 14.
Sigma Olomouc score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Slavia Praha have let in 0 there.
Slavia Praha score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Sigma Olomouc have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Sigma Olomouc
- at Mlada Boleslav28 Nov · Czech Ligawin 29%
- vs Artis5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 57%
- vs Slovácko13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 53%
- at Pardubice30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 32%
- vs Baník Ostrava6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 51%
Slavia Praha
- vs Villarreal25 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 44%
- vs Baník Ostrava29 Nov · Czech Ligawin 77%
- at Pardubice4 Dec · Czech Ligawin 60%
- at Bayern München8 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 21%
- vs Slovan Liberec13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 60%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.