Bohemians 1905
vs
Plzen
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Bohemians 1905 0–1 Plzen
The model makes it 27% Bohemians 1905, 28% draw, 45% Plzen — fair odds of 3.70, 3.57 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Bohemians 1905 1.07, Plzen 1.54.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Plzen: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Bohemians 1905's rating is built from 46 Czech Liga matches and Plzen's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.
Key facts
- Bohemians 1905 are 9th on 20 points from 14 games; Plzen are 8th on 20 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
- Bohemians 1905 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Slovan Liberec.
- Plzen have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Sparta Praha.
- Last 6 meetings: Plzen 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 15 March 2026, ended Plzen 2–0 Bohemians 1905.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen
Has the model earned this number?
Plzen at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Czech Liga
- L0-1away to Slovan Liberec7 November 2026
- W2-1away to Artis4 November 2026
- D0-0Sparta Praha1 November 2026
- D2-2away to Zbrojovka Brno24 October 2026
- W1-0Mlada Boleslav14 October 2026
Plzen
Czech Liga
- D1-1Sparta Praha8 November 2026
- W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 November 2026
- L1-2Pardubice25 October 2026
- W3-2away to FK Jablonec18 October 2026
- W3-0Mlada Boleslav10 October 2026
What these results say
- Plzen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Plzen had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Bohemians 1905
Chance to finish in the top ten · 69% today
Plzen
Chance to finish in the top ten · 97% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen
- 15 March 2026Plzen 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 18 October 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 PlzenCzech Liga
- 13 April 2025Bohemians 1905 1–2 PlzenCzech Liga
- 10 April 2025Bohemians 1905 1–3 PlzenCup
- 10 November 2024Plzen 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 17 February 2024Bohemians 1905 0–2 PlzenCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Bohemians 1905 and Plzen
Bohemians 1905
GoalsAssists
- A. Čermák52
Plzen
GoalsAssists
- C. Kabongo50
- A. Memić46
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bohemians 1905 a 0% chance of the title and Plzen 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Bohemians 1905 v Plzen has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 29% / 27% / 44% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 27% / 28% / 45%: the biggest move is Bohemians 1905's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Bohemians 1905 win27%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Plzen win45%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Plzen the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 against 1.54 for Plzen. Bohemians 1905's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.18/1.09 for Plzen.
How the model reaches 45% for Plzen to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Plzen to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Bohemians 1905's ratings add 5 points and Plzen's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage32%−4
- Bohemians 1905's ratings37%+5
- Plzen's ratings45%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Bohemians 1905 at home · Plzen away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Bohemians 1905Plzen
Bohemians 1905 are 9th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 7th and 15th so far); Plzen are 8th after 14 (between 8th and 16th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Bohemians 1905 14, Plzen 14.
Bohemians 1905 score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Plzen have let in 1 there.
Plzen score most often in the 46–60 minute window (8 goals); Bohemians 1905 have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Bohemians 1905
- at Hradec Králové28 Nov · Czech Ligawin 28%
- vs Zlin6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 51%
- at FK Jablonec13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 33%
- vs Slavia Praha30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 16%
- at Mlada Boleslav6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 26%
Plzen
- vs Benfica26 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 27%
- at Zbrojovka Brno29 Nov · Czech Ligawin 55%
- vs Teplice6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 57%
- at Bournemouth10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 25%
- at Zlin14 Dec · Czech Ligawin 62%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.