Regular Season - 15 · 22 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Slovácko vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction

Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherske Hradiste

Our model says: Slovácko 0–1 Hradec Králové

The model makes it 28% Slovácko, 28% draw, 44% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Slovácko 1.11, Hradec Králové 1.54.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Edge to Hradec Králové: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 12 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Slovácko's rating is built from 51 Czech Liga matches and Hradec Králové's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.

Key facts

Slovácko are 15th on 10 points from 14 games; Hradec Králové are 11th on 18 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
Slovácko have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Zlin.
Hradec Králové have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 5-0 win at home to Sigma Olomouc.
Last 6 meetings: Hradec Králové 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 April 2026, ended Slovácko 1–3 Hradec Králové.

More Czech Liga predictions

All Czech Liga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Slovácko vs Hradec Králové

53%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Slovácko win Draw Hradec Králové win

1–113%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
0–08%
1–07%
2–17%

Scores read Slovácko first; the other scorelines share the remaining 38%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Hradec Králové at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Slovácko vs Hradec Králové

Slovácko

Czech Liga

W1-0away to Zlin7 November 2026
L1-3Teplice31 October 2026
L1-5away to Sparta Praha25 October 2026
L1-2Zbrojovka Brno18 October 2026
W2-0away to Slovan Liberec11 October 2026

Hradec Králové

Czech Liga

W5-0Sigma Olomouc7 November 2026
L1-3away to Mlada Boleslav1 November 2026
L1-2FK Jablonec25 October 2026
D0-0away to Slavia Praha17 October 2026
L2-4Artis10 October 2026

What these results say

Slovácko scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Hradec Králové failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Hradec Králové scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
4 of these 5 matches for Hradec Králové had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Slovácko	14	2	4	8	13	26	-13	10
11	Hradec Králové	14	5	3	6	17	18	-1	18

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Slovácko

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 73% today

Win 63%

Draw 74%

Defeat 78%

Hradec Králové

Chance to finish in the top ten · 75% today

Win 82%

Draw 73%

Defeat 66%

From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Hradec Králové

11 April 2026Slovácko 1–3 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
8 November 2025Hradec Králové 4–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
9 April 2025Slovácko 1–5 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
21 September 2024Hradec Králové 3–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
13 April 2024Hradec Králové 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
4 November 2023Slovácko 0–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slovácko and Hradec Králové

Slovácko

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Hradec Králové

GoalsAssists

T. Čvančara41
T. Slončík40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Slovácko Hradec Králové

0.66 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.81

1.48 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.11

1.11 Model expected goals (this match) 1.54

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Hradec Králové the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Slovácko against 1.54 for Hradec Králové. Slovácko's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.48 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.11 for Hradec Králové.

How the model reaches 44% for Hradec Králové to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hradec Králové to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Slovácko's ratings add 6 points and Hradec Králové's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 44%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage32%−4
Slovácko's ratings38%+6
Hradec Králové's ratings44%+6

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

SlováckoModelHradec Králové

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

75%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

49%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

30%

3 of 10 games

27%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

60%

6 of 10 games

53%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

SlováckoHradec Králové

14Matches14

2W 4D 8LRecord5W 3D 6L

13 0.9 per gameGoals scored17 1.2 per game

26 1.9 per gameGoals conceded18 1.3 per game

3 of 14Clean sheets4 of 14

3 of 14Failed to score6 of 14

–Penalties scored2 of 2

26 1.9 per gameYellow cards29 2.1 per game

6Red cards2

3-4-2-1 14×Usual shape3-4-2-1 10×

Slovácko at home · Hradec Králové away

6Played6

0W 3D 3LRecord1W 2D 3L

6–10Goals for – against3–7

1 of 6Clean sheets2 of 6

League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

SlováckoHradec Králové

Slovácko are 15th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 11th and 16th so far); Hradec Králové are 11th after 14 (between 4th and 11th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Czech Liga matches this season: Slovácko 14, Hradec Králové 14.

Slovácko scored 201314

Hradec Králové conceded 104516

Slovácko score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Hradec Králové have let in 6 there.

Hradec Králové scored 223632

Slovácko conceded 337374

Hradec Králové score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Slovácko have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Slovácko

at Artis27 Nov · Czech Ligawin 35%
vs FK Jablonec5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 34%
at Sigma Olomouc13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 22%
vs Mlada Boleslav30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 26%
vs Plzen6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 19%

Hradec Králové

vs Bohemians 190528 Nov · Czech Ligawin 41%
at Baník Ostrava6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 42%
vs Zbrojovka Brno12 Dec · Czech Ligawin 51%
at Plzen30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 23%
vs Slovan Liberec6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 36%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.