Gyori ETO FC
vs
Debreceni VSC
NB I prediction
Our model says: Gyori ETO FC 2–1 Debreceni VSC
The model makes it 45% Gyori ETO FC, 26% draw, 29% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 1.70, Debreceni VSC 1.28.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,921 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Gyori ETO FC's rating is built from 46 Hungarian NB I matches and Debreceni VSC's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 473 matches.
Key facts
- Gyori ETO FC are 3rd on 23 points from 13 games; Debreceni VSC are 4th on 22 points from 13 games — NB I.
- Gyori ETO FC are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Nyiregyhaza.
- Debreceni VSC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-1 win at home to Ujpest.
- Last 6 meetings: all 6 drawn; the most recent, 16 August 2026, ended Debreceni VSC 1–1 Gyori ETO FC.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Gyori ETO FC vs Debreceni VSC
Has the model earned this number?
Gyori ETO FC at 45%: of 2,926 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Debreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC
NB I
- D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza8 November 2026
- D2-2Vasas31 October 2026
- W1-0Ujpest24 October 2026
- W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026
Debreceni VSC
NB I
- W3-1Ujpest8 November 2026
- W3-1away to Puskas Academy1 November 2026
- W2-0away to Budapest Honved24 October 2026
- W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE18 October 2026
- D1-1away to Ferencvarosi TC10 October 2026
What these results say
- Gyori ETO FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Debreceni VSC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Debreceni VSC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Debreceni VSC won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gyori ETO FC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Debreceni VSC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Debreceni VSC
- 16 August 2026Debreceni VSC 1–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 26 April 2026Debreceni VSC 1–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 31 January 2026Gyori ETO FC 2–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 4 October 2025Debreceni VSC 1–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 14 March 2025Gyori ETO FC 0–0 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 9 November 2024Debreceni VSC 2–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Debreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- V. Đukanović40
- L. Kulenović32
Debreceni VSC
GoalsAssists
- Á. Szendrei62
- B. Dzsudzsák42
- C. Denes33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Gyori ETO FC a 14.6% chance of the title and Debreceni VSC 7.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.70 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 1.28 for Debreceni VSC. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.37 for Debreceni VSC.
How the model reaches 45% for Gyori ETO FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Gyori ETO FC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Gyori ETO FC's ratings add 1 point and Debreceni VSC's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level41%−1
- Gyori ETO FC's ratings42%+1
- Debreceni VSC's ratings45%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Gyori ETO FC at home · Debreceni VSC away
League matches only, NB I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Gyori ETO FCDebreceni VSC
Gyori ETO FC are 3rd after 13 NB I matches (between 1st and 6th so far); Debreceni VSC are 4th after 13 (between 3rd and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Gyori ETO FC 13, Debreceni VSC 13.
Gyori ETO FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Debreceni VSC have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Gyori ETO FC
- at Zalaegerszegi TE6 Dec · NB Iwin 44%
- vs Kisvarda FC12 Dec · NB Iwin 54%
- at Budapest Honved20 Dec · NB Iwin 46%
- vs MTK Budapest30 Jan · NB Iwin 62%
Debreceni VSC
- vs Kisvarda FC5 Dec · NB Iwin 52%
- at MTK Budapest13 Dec · NB Iwin 50%
- vs Paks19 Dec · NB Iwin 46%
- at Vasas30 Jan · NB Iwin 39%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.