Artis
vs
FK Jablonec
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Artis 1–2 FK Jablonec
The model makes it 32% Artis, 27% draw, 41% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Artis 1.32, FK Jablonec 1.58.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to FK Jablonec: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Artis's rating is built from 16 Czech Liga matches and FK Jablonec's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.
Key facts
- Artis are 14th on 10 points from 14 games; FK Jablonec are 7th on 21 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
- Artis are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Slavia Praha.
- FK Jablonec have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Mlada Boleslav.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Artis vs FK Jablonec
Has the model earned this number?
FK Jablonec at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Artis vs FK Jablonec
Artis
Czech Liga
- L1-4away to Slavia Praha8 November 2026
- L1-2Bohemians 19054 November 2026
- D2-2Zlin31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
- W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026
FK Jablonec
Czech Liga
- D0-0Mlada Boleslav8 November 2026
- L0-5Slavia Praha31 October 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové25 October 2026
- L2-3Plzen18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Zbrojovka Brno10 October 2026
What these results say
- Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Artis
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 83% today
FK Jablonec
Chance to finish in the top ten · 66% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Artis vs FK Jablonec
- 10 February 2021FK Jablonec 3–0 ArtisCup
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Jablonec the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Artis against 1.58 for FK Jablonec. Artis's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.28 for FK Jablonec.
How the model reaches 41% for FK Jablonec to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FK Jablonec to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Artis's ratings add 5 points and FK Jablonec's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage32%−4
- Artis's ratings37%+5
- FK Jablonec's ratings41%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Artis at home · FK Jablonec away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
ArtisFK Jablonec
Artis are 14th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 10th and 15th so far); FK Jablonec are 7th after 14 (between 2nd and 8th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Artis 14, FK Jablonec 14.
Artis score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); FK Jablonec have let in 5 there.
FK Jablonec score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Artis have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Artis
- vs Slovácko27 Nov · Czech Ligawin 38%
- at Sigma Olomouc5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 20%
- vs Baník Ostrava12 Dec · Czech Ligawin 36%
- at Sparta Praha30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 9%
- vs Pardubice6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 27%
FK Jablonec
- vs FC Lugano26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 34%
- vs Pardubice29 Nov · Czech Ligawin 35%
- at Slovácko5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 38%
- at Trabzonspor10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 12%
- vs Bohemians 190513 Dec · Czech Ligawin 36%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.