Mlada Boleslav
vs
Zlin
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Mlada Boleslav 2–0 Zlin
The model makes it 59% Mlada Boleslav, 24% draw, 17% Zlin — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav 1.98, Zlin 0.83.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Mlada Boleslav are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Mlada Boleslav's rating is built from 49 Czech Liga matches and Zlin's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.
Key facts
- Mlada Boleslav are 3rd on 25 points from 14 games; Zlin are bottom on 3 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
- Mlada Boleslav are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to FK Jablonec.
- Zlin have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Slovácko.
- Last 6 meetings: Mlada Boleslav 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 9 May 2026, ended Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin
Has the model earned this number?
Mlada Boleslav at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
Czech Liga
- D0-0away to FK Jablonec8 November 2026
- W3-1Hradec Králové1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Slavia Praha24 October 2026
- W1-0Teplice17 October 2026
- L0-1away to Bohemians 190514 October 2026
Zlin
Czech Liga
- L0-1Slovácko7 November 2026
- D2-2away to Artis31 October 2026
- D1-1Sigma Olomouc24 October 2026
- L0-3away to Pardubice17 October 2026
- L0-1Slavia Praha9 October 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mlada Boleslav had two goals or fewer.
- Zlin did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin
- 9 May 2026Mlada Boleslav 1–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 6 December 2025Mlada Boleslav 3–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 9 August 2025Zlin 3–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 31 March 2024Mlada Boleslav 3–2 ZlinCzech Liga
- 21 October 2023Zlin 5–9 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 30 April 2023Mlada Boleslav 1–1 ZlinCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Mlada Boleslav and Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
GoalsAssists
- M. Šubert71
- J. Klíma41
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Mlada Boleslav a 0.2% chance of the title and Zlin 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mlada Boleslav the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.98 expected goals for Mlada Boleslav against 0.83 for Zlin. Mlada Boleslav's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.06 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.58 for Zlin.
How the model reaches 59% for Mlada Boleslav to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Mlada Boleslav to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Mlada Boleslav's ratings add 9 points and Zlin's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 59%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−1
- Mlada Boleslav's ratings49%+9
- Zlin's ratings59%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Mlada Boleslav at home · Zlin away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Mlada BoleslavZlin
Mlada Boleslav are 3rd after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 1st and 4th so far); Zlin are 16th after 14 (between 14th and 16th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Mlada Boleslav 14, Zlin 14.
Mlada Boleslav score most often in the 0–15 minute window (6 goals); Zlin have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Mlada Boleslav
- vs Sigma Olomouc28 Nov · Czech Ligawin 44%
- at Sparta Praha5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 20%
- vs Pardubice12 Dec · Czech Ligawin 43%
- at Slovácko30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 46%
- vs Bohemians 19056 Feb · Czech Ligawin 43%
Zlin
- vs Sparta Praha29 Nov · Czech Ligawin 14%
- at Bohemians 19056 Dec · Czech Ligawin 21%
- vs Plzen14 Dec · Czech Ligawin 17%
- at Slovan Liberec30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 17%
- vs Zbrojovka Brno6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 34%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.