Al Ain
vs
Ajman
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Ain 2–1 Ajman
The model makes it 66% Al Ain, 19% draw, 15% Ajman — fair odds of 1.52, 5.26 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Al Ain 2.65, Ajman 1.04.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Al Ain are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Al Ain are 2nd on 13 points from 5 games; Ajman are 5th on 9 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Al Ain are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Al-Wasl FC.
- Ajman have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat at home to Al-Ittihad Kalba.
- Last 6 meetings: Al Ain 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 October 2026, ended Al Ain 2–3 Ajman.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Ain vs Ajman
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ain at 66% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 310 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al Ain vs Ajman
Al Ain
- D2-2Al-Wasl FC10 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba4 September 2026
- W2-1Al Nasr29 August 2026
- W2-0Khorfakkan22 August 2026
- W4-2away to Baniyas SC16 August 2026
Ajman
- L2-3Al-Ittihad Kalba11 September 2026
- W2-1away to Al Nasr6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026
- W4-3Hatta SC22 August 2026
- W3-2away to Al Wahda FC14 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Ain went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Al Ain scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Ain won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ajman conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Ajman had three goals or more.
- Ajman scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Ain vs Ajman
- 2 October 2026Al Ain 2–3 AjmanLeague Cup
- 5 April 2026Al Ain 2–0 AjmanPro League
- 30 October 2025Ajman 0–3 Al AinPro League
- 19 May 2025Al Ain 0–0 AjmanPro League
- 15 January 2025Ajman 4–2 Al AinPro League
- 15 March 2024Ajman 0–4 Al AinPro League
Leading scorers: Al Ain and Ajman
Al Ain
GoalsAssists
- Abdoul Karim Traoré20
- Rami Rabia11
Ajman
GoalsAssists
- W. Azaro20
- Saad El Hadani11
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Al Ain carry a model rating of 6.75 against 6.34 for Ajman. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.65 goals for Al Ain and 1.04 for Ajman. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al Ain rate 0.88 in attack and 1.07 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Ajman rate 0.64 and 1.80.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,790 correct results out of 3,756 settled predictions (48%), with 377 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Ain the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.65 expected goals for Al Ain against 1.04 for Ajman. Al Ain's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.07 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.8 for Ajman.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al Ain at home · Ajman away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Ain 5, Ajman 5.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Al Ain
- at Al-Ittihad2 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 31%
- at Al Wahda FC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 50%
- vs Al-Dhafra19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 74%
Ajman
- vs Baniyas SC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 46%
- at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 18%
- vs Dubai United4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Khorfakkan13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.