Al-Wasl FC
vs
Al-Dhafra
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Wasl FC 2–0 Al-Dhafra
The model makes it 68% Al-Wasl FC, 19% draw, 13% Al-Dhafra — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Al-Wasl FC 2.50, Al-Dhafra 0.81.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Al-Wasl FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Al-Wasl FC are 4th on 10 points from 5 games; Al-Dhafra are 12th on 3 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Al-Wasl FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Al Ain.
- Al-Dhafra have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Hatta SC.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Wasl FC 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 18 March 2026, ended Al-Wasl FC 3–0 Al-Dhafra.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Wasl FC at 68% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra
Al-Wasl FC
- D2-2away to Al Ain10 September 2026
- W5-2Khorfakkan4 September 2026
- L0-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai28 August 2026
- W3-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba21 August 2026
- W5-1Dubai United15 August 2026
Al-Dhafra
- W2-1away to Hatta SC11 September 2026
- L0-1Al Wahda FC6 September 2026
- L0-2away to Khorfakkan29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai22 August 2026
- L1-3Sharjah FC15 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Wasl FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Wasl FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Wasl FC had three goals or more.
- Al-Dhafra conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Dhafra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Wasl FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Al-Dhafra | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra
- 18 March 2026Al-Wasl FC 3–0 Al-DhafraPro League
- 5 September 2025Al-Wasl FC 4–2 Al-DhafraLeague Cup
- 30 August 2025Al-Dhafra 1–5 Al-Wasl FCLeague Cup
- 23 August 2025Al-Dhafra 3–1 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 3 March 2023Al-Dhafra 0–2 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 8 October 2022Al-Wasl FC 4–0 Al-DhafraPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Wasl FC and Al-Dhafra
Al-Wasl FC
GoalsAssists
- Renato Júnior30
- N. Giménez30
- Serginho23
Al-Dhafra
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Al-Wasl FC carry a model rating of 6.6 against 6.1 for Al-Dhafra. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.50 goals for Al-Wasl FC and 0.81 for Al-Dhafra. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Wasl FC rate 0.80 in attack and 1.31 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al-Dhafra rate 0.41 and 1.87.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,821 correct results out of 3,803 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Wasl FC the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.50 expected goals for Al-Wasl FC against 0.81 for Al-Dhafra. Al-Wasl FC's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.87 for Al-Dhafra.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al-Wasl FC at home · Al-Dhafra away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Wasl FC 5, Al-Dhafra 5.
Al-Dhafra score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); Al-Wasl FC have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Al-Wasl FC
- vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya2 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 78%
- at Al-Jazira8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- vs Hatta SC19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 67%
Al-Dhafra
- vs Al-Ittihad Kalba7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- at Al Ain19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 9%
- vs Baniyas SC5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 31%
- vs Al Nasr13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 24%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.