On the model's scale they rate 0.48 in attack and 2.14 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Among the 36 rated sides in the division that is the 36th-best attack and the 36th-best defence. Next they travel to Riga in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026, a match the model gives them 28%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Kairat Almaty vs Riga
Kairat Almaty travel to Riga at Skonto stadions, Riga on 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The model makes it 28% Kairat Almaty, 28% draw and 44% Riga, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.22 expected goals for Kairat Almaty against 1.84. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Full preview and model analysis for Kairat Almaty vs Riga