Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty.
Before kick-off the model made it 88% Anderlecht, 9% draw, 3% Kairat Almaty — fair odds of 1.14, 11.11 and 33.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 88% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
Line-ups
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 27L. PetrotD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 55M. KanaD
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 9M. CvetkovicF
- 14D. SikanF
- 61J. Nga KanaM
- 33M. Seghers
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 62B. VroninksD
- 50K. BarryD
- 2Z. KeitaD
- 68N. Kalonji KafumpataM
- 91A. BertacciniF
- 11O. AntmanM
- 10M. WinklerM
- 82S. KalmurzaG
- 20E. TapalovD
- 4D. KasabulatM
- 8O. BaybekM
- 5L. KurginD
- 3L. MataD
- 6A. SadybekovM
- 13J. OksanenM
- 19O. JukkolaM
- 28M. GualF
- 81I. BekbolatF
- 1T. AnarbekovG
- 14A. MartynovichD
- 24A. MrynskiyD
- 32A. NurgalievD
- 22G. MendonsaM
- 27M. AbishM
- 17A. TuyakbaevM
- 9EdmilsonF
- 15M. BirkurmanovF
Form going into Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht
- W3-0away to Kairat Almaty20 August 2026
- W3-2PAOK13 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026
Kairat Almaty
- L0-3Anderlecht20 August 2026
- L0-1Levski Sofia11 August 2026
- L0-1away to Levski Sofia4 August 2026
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia29 July 2026
- L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia22 July 2026
What these results say
- Kairat Almaty failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kairat Almaty failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kairat Almaty conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Kairat Almaty has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
- 20 August 2026Kairat Almaty 0–3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht
- M. CvetkoviÄ1 goal
Kairat Almaty
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.