11 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Turkestan Arena, Turkestan
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Kairat Almaty, 27% draw, 38% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty (4 Aug) →

Levski Sofia went through 2–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Levski Sofia at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kairat Almaty0%Draw4%Levski Sofia96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Everton Bala
13'
⚽Reinaldoassist: Everton Bala
Olzhas Baibek
45+6'
🔁Olzhas Baibekout: Ismail Bekbolat
46'
Damir Kasabulat
60'
🔁Damir Kasabulatout: Edmilson
64'
73'
Aldair
79'
🔁Armstrong Oko-Flexout: Hevertton Santos
79'
🔁Aldairout: Mazire Soula
79'
🔁Everton Balaout: Maicon
83'
🔁Reinaldoout: Juan Perea
🔁Marc Gualout: Mansur Birkurmanov
84'
88'
Nikola Serafimov
89'
Juan Perea
Gustavo Mendonca
90+4'
90'
🔁Serginhoout: Asen Ivanov Mitkov

Match stats — Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

56%Possession44%
20Shots9
6On target2
9Corners4

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. AnarbekovG
  • 4D. KasabulatD
  • 25A. ShirobokovD
  • 44Lucas AfricoD
  • 3L. MataD
  • 8O. BaybekM
  • 13J. OksanenM
  • 24A. MrynskiyM
  • 22G. Mendonsa
  • 19O. JukkolaM
  • 28M. GualF
Substitutes
  • 82S. KalmurzaG
  • 30D. BuchG
  • 9EdmilsonF
  • 15M. BirkurmanovF
  • 27M. AbishM
  • 32A. NurgalievD
  • 20E. TapalovD
  • 5L. KurginD
  • 6A. SadybekovM
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 21A. NevesD
  • 50K. DimitrovD
  • 31N. SerafimovD
  • 20A. CentellesD
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 19M. MoubarikM
  • 11A. Oko-FlexM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 17Everton BalaM
  • 7ReinaldoF
Substitutes
  • 78M. LukovG
  • 1O. VladimirovG
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 22M. SoulaF
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 2S. HeverttonD
  • 3MaiconD
  • 9J. PereaF
  • 77A. RaychevF
Coach: Julio Velazquez

Form going into Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Levski Sofia4 August 2026
  • W1-0Omonia Nicosia29 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia22 July 2026

Levski Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv7 August 2026
  • W1-0Kairat Almaty4 August 2026
  • W3-0Septemvri Sofia1 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Universitatea Craiova29 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Levski Sofia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

  • 4 August 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Levski Sofia won 1–0 at Kairat Almaty. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Reinaldo 13' for Levski Sofia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.