22 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat Almaty.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% Omonia Nicosia, 30% draw, 54% Kairat Almaty — fair odds of 6.25, 3.33 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kairat Almaty at 54% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Andreou
13'
Loic Négo
34'
🔁M. Tankovicout: S. Simic
36'
🔁J. Montnorout: M. Mayambela
46'
46'
🔁A. Sadybekovout: Edmilson
Andronikos Kakoullis
56'
56'
Jorginho
56'
Edmilson
58'
🔁E. Tapalovout: I. Bekbolat
68'
🔁O. Jukkolaout: L. Kurgin
🔁A. Kakoullisout: A. Neofytou
69'
🔁P. Andreouout: I. Kousoulos
77'
83'
🔁L. Mataout: A. Tuyakbaev
83'
🔁M. Gualout: G. Mendonsa
90+7'
Aleksandr Martynovich

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia 4-3-3
  • 40FabianoG
  • 77Loic NégoD
  • 5Senou CoulibalyD
  • 30Nikolas PanagiotouD
  • 29Jure BalkovecD
  • 14Mateo MarićM
  • 22Muamer TankovićM
  • 74Panagiotis AndreouM
  • 11Ewandro CostaM
  • 9Andronikos KakoullisF
  • 7Jaden MontnorM
Substitutes
  • 27Stefan SimicD
  • 21Mihlali MayambelaM
  • 85Angelos NeophytouF
  • 31Ioannis KousoulosM
  • 23Francis UzohoG
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 90Christos KonstantinidisD
  • 92Christoforou PanagiotisD
  • 6Carel EitingM
Coach: Henning Berg
Kairat Almaty 4-2-3-1
  • 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
  • 20Erkin TapalovD
  • 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
  • 44Lucas ÁfricoD
  • 3Luís MataD
  • 6Adilet SadybekovM
  • 13Jaakko OksanenM
  • 24Aleksandr MrynskiyD
  • 7JorginhoM
  • 19Oiva JukkolaM
  • 28Marc GualF
Substitutes
  • 9EdmilsonF
  • 81Ismail BekbolatF
  • 5Lev KurginD
  • 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
  • 22Gustavo MendoncaM
  • 30Danila BuchG
  • 82Sherkhan KalmurzaG
  • 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
  • 32Adlan NurgalievD
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty

  • 22 July 2026Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League
  • 9 December 2021Omonia Nicosia 0–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 16 September 2021Kairat Almaty 0–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.