22 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat Almaty.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% Omonia Nicosia, 30% draw, 54% Kairat Almaty — fair odds of 6.25, 3.33 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Kairat Almaty v Omonia Nicosia, 29 Jul →

Kairat Almaty went through on penalties, after 1–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kairat Almaty at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Andreou
13'
Loic Négo
34'
🔁M. Tankovicout: S. Simic
36'
🔁J. Montnorout: M. Mayambela
46'
46'
🔁A. Sadybekovout: Edmilson
Andronikos Kakoullis
56'
56'
Jorginho
56'
Edmilson
58'
🔁E. Tapalovout: I. Bekbolat
68'
🔁O. Jukkolaout: L. Kurgin
🔁A. Kakoullisout: A. Neofytou
69'
🔁P. Andreouout: I. Kousoulos
77'
83'
🔁L. Mataout: A. Tuyakbaev
83'
🔁M. Gualout: G. Mendonsa
90+7'
Aleksandr Martynovich

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia 4-3-3
  • 40FabianoG
  • 77Loic NégoD
  • 5Senou CoulibalyD
  • 30Nikolas PanagiotouD
  • 29Jure BalkovecD
  • 14Mateo MarićM
  • 22Muamer TankovićM
  • 74Panagiotis AndreouM
  • 11Ewandro CostaM
  • 9Andronikos KakoullisF
  • 7Jaden MontnorM
Substitutes
  • 27Stefan SimicD
  • 21Mihlali MayambelaM
  • 85Angelos NeophytouF
  • 31Ioannis KousoulosM
  • 23Francis UzohoG
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 90Christos KonstantinidisD
  • 92Christoforou PanagiotisD
  • 6Carel EitingM
Coach: Henning Berg
Kairat Almaty 4-2-3-1
  • 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
  • 20Erkin TapalovD
  • 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
  • 44Lucas ÁfricoD
  • 3Luís MataD
  • 6Adilet SadybekovM
  • 13Jaakko OksanenM
  • 24Aleksandr MrynskiyD
  • 7JorginhoM
  • 19Oiva JukkolaM
  • 28Marc GualF
Substitutes
  • 9EdmilsonF
  • 81Ismail BekbolatF
  • 5Lev KurginD
  • 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
  • 22Gustavo MendoncaM
  • 30Danila BuchG
  • 82Sherkhan KalmurzaG
  • 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
  • 32Adlan NurgalievD
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty

  • 9 December 2021Omonia Nicosia 0–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 16 September 2021Kairat Almaty 0–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa Conference League

The result against the call

Omonia Nicosia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Kairat Almaty at 54% and given a win for Omonia Nicosia 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goal: P. Andreou 13' for Omonia Nicosia. Sent off: Loic Négo (Omonia Nicosia) 34'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.