UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 29 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kairat Almaty 1-0 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Kairat Almaty, 21% draw, 46% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 3.03, 4.76 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (8%).

Expected goals: Kairat Almaty 1.88, Omonia Nicosia 2.21.

Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

76%
Both teams to score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-2 8%1-1 7%2-2 7%

Match stats: Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

Goals: Edmilson 37' for Kairat Almaty, Edmilson (penalty) 120+1' for Kairat Almaty, A. Chatzigiovanis (penalty) 120+1' for Omonia Nicosia, J. Oksanen (penalty) 120+2' for Kairat Almaty, J. Balkovec (penalty) 120+2' for Omonia Nicosia, A. Martynovich (penalty) 120+3' for Kairat Almaty, P. Andreou (penalty) 120+3' for Omonia Nicosia, O. Baybek (penalty) 120+4' for Kairat Almaty, A. Neofytou (penalty) 120+4' for Omonia Nicosia, M. Gual (penalty) 120+5' for Kairat Almaty, I. Kousoulos (penalty) 120+5' for Omonia Nicosia, A. Tuyakbaev (penalty) 120+6' for Kairat Almaty, A. Christou (penalty) 120+6' for Omonia Nicosia, M. Birkurmanov (penalty) 120+7' for Kairat Almaty, N. Panagiotou (penalty) 120+7' for Omonia Nicosia.

Head-to-head: Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

  • 29 July 2026Kairat Almaty 1–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Champions League
  • 22 July 2026Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League
  • 9 December 2021Omonia Nicosia 0–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 16 September 2021Kairat Almaty 0–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Omonia Nicosia the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Kairat Almaty against 2.21 for Omonia Nicosia. Kairat Almaty's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.38 for Omonia Nicosia.