29 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kairat Almaty 1-0 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Kairat Almaty, 22% draw, 44% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 2.94, 4.55 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Omonia Nicosia at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

O. Jukkola
24'
26'
A. Kakoullis
🔁L. Kurginout: I. Bekbolat
36'
🔁D. Kasabulatout: Edmilson
36'
⚽Edmilsonassist: L. Mata
37'
A. Mrynskiy
41'
65'
🔁M. Tankovicout: A. Chatzigiovanis
65'
🔁M. Mayambelaout: L. Diony
G. Mendonsa
67'
68'
S. Coulibaly
🔁G. Mendonsaout: O. Baybek
72'
🔁I. Bekbolatout: A. Tuyakbaev
72'
76'
🔁S. Simicout: A. Christou
76'
🔁Ewandroout: I. Kousoulos
🔁O. Jukkolaout: M. Birkurmanov
80'
96'
M. Maric
🔁Lucas Africoout: A. Shirobokov
102'
111'
S. Coulibaly
111'
S. Coulibaly
114'
🔁L. Dionyout: A. Neofytou
⚽Edmilson (pen)
120+1'
120+1'
⚽A. Chatzigiovanis (pen)
⚽J. Oksanen (pen)
120+2'
120+2'
⚽J. Balkovec (pen)
⚽A. Martynovich (pen)
120+3'
120+3'
⚽P. Andreou (pen)
⚽O. Baybek (pen)
120+4'
120+4'
⚽A. Neofytou (pen)
⚽M. Gual (pen)
120+5'
120+5'
⚽I. Kousoulos (pen)
⚽A. Tuyakbaev (pen)
120+6'
120+6'
⚽A. Christou (pen)
⚽M. Birkurmanov (pen)
120+7'
120+7'
⚽N. Panagiotou (pen)

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty 4-2-3-1
  • 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
  • 24Aleksandr MrynskiyD
  • 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
  • 44Lucas ÁfricoD
  • 3Luís MataD
  • 4Damir KasabulatM
  • 22Gustavo MendoncaM
  • 19Oiva JukkolaM
  • 13Jaakko OksanenM
  • 5Lev KurginD
  • 28Marc GualF
Substitutes
  • 9EdmilsonF
  • 81Ismail BekbolatF
  • 8Olzhas BaibekM
  • 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
  • 15Mansur BirkurmanovF
  • 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
  • 30Danila BuchG
  • 82Sherkhan KalmurzaG
  • 20Erkin TapalovD
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
Omonia Nicosia 4-4-2
  • 40FabianoG
  • 27Stefan SimicD
  • 5Senou CoulibalyD
  • 30Nikolas PanagiotouD
  • 29Jure BalkovecD
  • 11Ewandro CostaM
  • 74Panagiotis AndreouM
  • 14Mateo MarićM
  • 21Mihlali MayambelaM
  • 9Andronikos KakoullisF
  • 22Muamer TankovićM
Substitutes
  • 10Tasos ChatzigiovanisM
  • 99Loïs DionyF
  • 82Andreas ChristouM
  • 31Ioannis KousoulosM
  • 85Angelos NeophytouF
  • 23Francis UzohoG
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 90Christos KonstantinidisD
  • 92Christoforou PanagiotisD
Coach: Henning Berg

Form going into Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

Kairat Almaty

  • L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia22 July 2026

Omonia Nicosia

  • W1-0Kairat Almaty22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

  • 29 July 2026Kairat Almaty 1–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Champions League
  • 22 July 2026Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League
  • 9 December 2021Omonia Nicosia 0–0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 16 September 2021Kairat Almaty 0–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.