20 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Kairat Almaty, 21% draw, 56% Anderlecht — fair odds of 4.35, 4.76 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Anderlecht at 56% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽J. Oksanen (OG)
21'
Mihajlo Cvetković
24'
⚽L. Ambros
Aleksandr Shirobokov
39'
45'
⚽D. Sikanassist: L. Ambros
🔁A. Mrynskiyout: O. Baybek
46'
46'
🔁M. Cvetkovicout: T. Degreef
49'
Ali Maamar
52'
Giulian Biancone
🔁M. Gualout: A. Tuyakbaev
60'
🔁Edmilsonout: I. Bekbolat
60'
63'
🔁J. Nga Kanaout: O. Antman
Jaakko Oksanen
64'
🔁L. Mataout: L. Kurgin
72'
🔁J. Oksanenout: A. Sadybekov
72'
74'
Enric Llansana
74'
🔁A. Maamarout: M. Winkler
84'
🔁E. Llansanaout: N. Ojea
84'
🔁D. Sikanout: A. Bertaccini

Match stats — Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht

33%Possession67%
2On target4
2Corners8

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty 4-4-1-1
  • 1T. AnarbekovG
  • 20E. TapalovD
  • 25A. ShirobokovD
  • 44Lucas AfricoD
  • 3L. MataD
  • 24A. MrynskiyD
  • 13J. OksanenM
  • 22G. MendonsaM
  • 19O. JukkolaM
  • 28M. GualF
  • 9EdmilsonF
Substitutes
  • 30D. BuchG
  • 82S. KalmurzaG
  • 4D. KasabulatM
  • 5L. KurginD
  • 6A. SadybekovM
  • 8O. BaybekM
  • 15M. BirkurmanovF
  • 17A. TuyakbaevM
  • 27M. AbishM
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
Anderlecht 4-3-3
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 27L. PetrotD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 18L. AmbrosM
  • 55M. KanaD
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 9M. CvetkovicF
  • 14D. SikanF
  • 61J. Nga KanaM
Substitutes
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 33M. Seghers
  • 2Z. KeitaD
  • 10M. WinklerM
  • 11O. AntmanM
  • 49J. Onia SekeM
  • 50K. BarryD
  • 53N. OjeaF
  • 62B. VroninksD
Coach: Vitor Bruno

Form going into Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht

Kairat Almaty

  • L0-1Levski Sofia11 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Levski Sofia4 August 2026
  • W1-0Omonia Nicosia29 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia22 July 2026

Anderlecht

  • W3-2PAOK13 August 2026
  • W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 4 matches for Kairat Almaty had two goals or fewer.
  • Kairat Almaty failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Kairat Almaty failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
23AnderlechtUEFA Europa League100112-10

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Kairat Almaty has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · UEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht

Kairat Almaty

No leading scorers listed yet.

Anderlecht

  • M. Cvetković1 goal

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.