Derry City

Derry City sit 5th in the Premier Division on 38 points from 31 matches, having scored 44 and conceded 42. The model rates their attack at 0.52× the league average and their defence at 1.76× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, most recently drawing with Waterford 2-2 away. That is 1.23 points a match, scoring 1.42 and conceding 1.35 per game across 8 wins, 14 draws and 9 defeats. That leaves them 18 points behind St Patrick's Athletic at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Galway United in the Premier Division on 18 September 2026, a match the model gives them 47%.

Model rating

How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.

Next match: Derry City vs Galway United

Derry City host Galway United at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry on 18 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 47% Derry City, 27% draw and 26% Galway United, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.93 expected goals for Derry City against 1.12. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Full preview and model analysis for Derry City vs Galway United

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