Waterford sit 8th in the Premier Division on 34 points from 31 matches, having scored 42 and conceded 51. The model rates their attack at 0.63× the league average and their defence at 1.97× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins and 3 draws, most recently drawing with Derry City 2-2 at home. That is 1.10 points a match, scoring 1.35 and conceding 1.65 per game across 7 wins, 13 draws and 11 defeats. That leaves them 22 points behind St Patrick's Athletic at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 1st-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division on 18 September 2026, a match the model gives them 36%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athletic | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 25 | +26 | 56 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 29 | +17 | 56 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 36 | +17 | 53 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
| 5 | Derry City | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 42 | +2 | 38 |
| 6 | Galway United | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 37 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Waterford | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
Waterford sit 8 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2Derry City14 September 2026
- D1-1Dundalk11 September 2026
- W2-0away to St Patrick's Athletic28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sligo Rovers21 August 2026
- W3-1Bohemians9 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers
Waterford travel to Shamrock Rovers at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin on 18 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 36% Waterford, 29% draw and 35% Shamrock Rovers, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.45 expected goals for Waterford against 1.44. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- T. Lonergan14 goals3 assists
- P. Amond9 goals1 assists
League goals this season.