Widad Témara
vs
Maghreb Fès
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Widad Témara 0–1 Maghreb Fès
The model makes it 26% Widad Témara, 33% draw, 41% Maghreb Fès — fair odds of 3.85, 3.03 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (16%).
Expected goals: Widad Témara 0.80, Maghreb Fès 1.14.
Both teams to score: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 31%, under 2.5: 69%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,012 settled matches.
Edge to Maghreb Fès: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. Widad Témara's rating is built from 4 Botola Pro matches and Maghreb Fès's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- Widad Témara are 13th on 3 points from 4 games; Maghreb Fès are 5th on 7 points from 4 games — Botola Pro.
- Widad Témara are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Kawkab Marrakech.
- Maghreb Fès have won 2 of their last 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Ittihad Tanger.
- Last 4 meetings: Maghreb Fès 3 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 9 October 2020, ended Maghreb Fès 2–0 Widad Témara.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maghreb Fès at 41% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 2,011 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
Widad Témara
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech18 October 2026
- L0-1away to FAR Rabat8 October 2026
- L0-1UTS Rabat2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Wydad AC26 September 2026
Maghreb Fès
- L1-2away to Ittihad Tanger14 October 2026
- D0-0Raja Casablanca8 October 2026
- W2-1away to Hassania Agadir3 October 2026
- W2-1CR Khemis Zemamra27 September 2026
What these results say
- Widad Témara conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Widad Témara failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Widad Témara failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Maghreb Fès scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Maghreb Fès conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Maghreb Fès had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Widad Témara | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
- 9 October 2020Maghreb Fès 2–0 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 4 January 2020Widad Témara 2–1 Maghreb FèsBotola 2
- 13 April 2019Maghreb Fès 1–0 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 15 December 2018Widad Témara 3–4 Maghreb FèsBotola 2
The two sides
Widad Témara carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.5 for Maghreb Fès. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.80 goals for Widad Témara and 1.14 for Maghreb Fès. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Widad Témara rate 0.51 in attack and 1.64 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Maghreb Fès rate 0.62 and 1.26.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Maghreb Fès the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.80 expected goals for Widad Témara against 1.14 for Maghreb Fès. Widad Témara's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.26 for Maghreb Fès.
Season stats
Widad Témara at home · Maghreb Fès away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Widad TémaraMaghreb Fès
Widad Témara are 12th after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 3rd and 12th so far); Maghreb Fès are 4th after 4 (between 1st and 4th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: Widad Témara 4, Maghreb Fès 4.
Maghreb Fès score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Widad Témara have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
Widad Témara
- at CR Khemis Zemamra8 Nov · Botola Prowin 36%
Maghreb Fès
- vs FUS Rabat7 Nov · Botola Prowin 48%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.