FUS Rabat
vs
Hassania Agadir
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: FUS Rabat 0–1 Hassania Agadir
The model makes it 33% FUS Rabat, 29% draw, 38% Hassania Agadir — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: FUS Rabat 1.21, Hassania Agadir 1.33.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 919 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. FUS Rabat's rating is built from 34 Botola Pro matches and Hassania Agadir's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- FUS Rabat are 15th on 2 points from 4 games; Hassania Agadir are 3rd on 7 points from 4 games — Botola Pro.
- FUS Rabat have not won in their last 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Raja Casablanca.
- Hassania Agadir have won 2 of their last 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to FAR Rabat.
- Last 6 meetings: FUS Rabat 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 June 2026, ended Hassania Agadir 0–0 FUS Rabat.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hassania Agadir at 38% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 3,359 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir
FUS Rabat
- D1-1Raja Casablanca13 October 2026
- D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan9 October 2026
- L0-1Amal Tiznit2 October 2026
- L1-2away to UTS Rabat26 September 2026
Hassania Agadir
- D2-2FAR Rabat12 October 2026
- W5-2away to CR Khemis Zemamra8 October 2026
- L1-2Maghreb Fès3 October 2026
- W3-2away to Kawkab Marrakech27 September 2026
What these results say
- FUS Rabat did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FUS Rabat conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FUS Rabat had two goals or fewer.
- Hassania Agadir scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hassania Agadir conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Hassania Agadir had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FUS Rabat | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 3 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FUS Rabat vs Hassania Agadir
- 4 June 2026Hassania Agadir 0–0 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 2 November 2025FUS Rabat 1–2 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 8 May 2025FUS Rabat 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 13 December 2024Hassania Agadir 0–1 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 16 February 2024Hassania Agadir 1–3 FUS RabatBotola Pro
- 27 September 2023FUS Rabat 2–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FUS Rabat carry a model rating of 6.23 against 6.34 for Hassania Agadir. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.21 goals for FUS Rabat and 1.33 for Hassania Agadir. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FUS Rabat rate 0.48 in attack and 1.67 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hassania Agadir rate 0.71 and 2.03.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hassania Agadir the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.21 expected goals for FUS Rabat against 1.33 for Hassania Agadir. FUS Rabat's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/2.03 for Hassania Agadir.
Season stats
FUS Rabat at home · Hassania Agadir away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
FUS RabatHassania Agadir
FUS Rabat are 15th after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 14th and 15th so far); Hassania Agadir are 1st after 4 (between 1st and 6th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: FUS Rabat 4, Hassania Agadir 4.
FUS Rabat score most often in the 61–75 minute window (2 goals); Hassania Agadir have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
FUS Rabat
- at Maghreb Fès7 Nov · Botola Prowin 21%
Hassania Agadir
- vs Renaissance Berkane6 Nov · Botola Prowin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.