UTS Rabat
vs
Wydad AC
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: UTS Rabat 1–0 Wydad AC
The model makes it 41% UTS Rabat, 31% draw, 28% Wydad AC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: UTS Rabat 1.24, Wydad AC 0.95.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,012 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. UTS Rabat's rating is built from 36 Botola Pro matches and Wydad AC's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- UTS Rabat are 6th on 7 points from 4 games; Wydad AC are 9th on 5 points from 4 games — Botola Pro.
- UTS Rabat have won 2 of their last 4 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to CODM Meknès.
- Wydad AC are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Amal Tiznit.
- Last 6 meetings: Wydad AC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 5 July 2026, ended Wydad AC 1–2 UTS Rabat.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts UTS Rabat at 41% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 2,011 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC
UTS Rabat
- L0-1away to CODM Meknès17 October 2026
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane8 October 2026
- W1-0away to Widad Témara2 October 2026
- W2-1FUS Rabat26 September 2026
Wydad AC
- D1-1Amal Tiznit18 October 2026
- D0-0CODM Meknès11 October 2026
- W2-0away to Difaa EL Jadida3 October 2026
- L1-3Widad Témara26 September 2026
What these results say
- 3 of these 4 matches for UTS Rabat had two goals or fewer.
- Wydad AC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wydad AC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Wydad AC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UTS Rabat | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Wydad AC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC
- 5 July 2026Wydad AC 1–2 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 8 March 2026UTS Rabat 3–4 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 12 January 2025Wydad AC 2–1 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 20 September 2024UTS Rabat 1–1 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 9 March 2024Wydad AC 0–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 12 December 2023UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad ACBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
UTS Rabat carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.26 for Wydad AC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.24 goals for UTS Rabat and 0.95 for Wydad AC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
UTS Rabat rate 0.57 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wydad AC rate 0.54 and 1.75.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives UTS Rabat the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.24 expected goals for UTS Rabat against 0.95 for Wydad AC. UTS Rabat's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.75 for Wydad AC.
Season stats
UTS Rabat at home · Wydad AC away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
UTS RabatWydad AC
UTS Rabat are 5th after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 1st and 5th so far); Wydad AC are 9th after 4 (between 8th and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: UTS Rabat 4, Wydad AC 4.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
UTS Rabat
- at Difaa EL Jadida30 Oct · Botola Prowin 37%
- vs Amal Tiznit6 Nov · Botola Prowin 48%
Wydad AC
- vs Moghreb Tetouan31 Oct · Botola Prowin 42%
- at Kawkab Marrakech7 Nov · Botola Prowin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.