Renaissance Berkane
vs
Raja Casablanca
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Renaissance Berkane 0–1 Raja Casablanca
The model makes it 33% Renaissance Berkane, 33% draw, 34% Raja Casablanca — fair odds of 3.03, 3.03 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Renaissance Berkane 0.94, Raja Casablanca 0.94.
Both teams to score: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 29%, under 2.5: 71%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 919 settled matches.
A tight game: Renaissance Berkane and Raja Casablanca are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. Renaissance Berkane's rating is built from 33 Botola Pro matches and Raja Casablanca's from 33, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- Renaissance Berkane are 12th on 3 points from 3 games; Raja Casablanca are 8th on 5 points from 3 games — Botola Pro.
- Renaissance Berkane are unbeaten in their last 3 games (0 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to CR Khemis Zemamra.
- Raja Casablanca are unbeaten in their last 3 games (1 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to FUS Rabat.
- Last 6 meetings: Renaissance Berkane 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 3 June 2026, ended Raja Casablanca 0–1 Renaissance Berkane.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Raja Casablanca at 34% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 3,359 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca
Renaissance Berkane
- D2-2CR Khemis Zemamra13 October 2026
- D0-0away to UTS Rabat8 October 2026
- D0-0away to Moghreb Tetouan27 September 2026
Raja Casablanca
- D1-1away to FUS Rabat13 October 2026
- D0-0away to Maghreb Fès8 October 2026
- W1-0CR Khemis Zemamra3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Renaissance Berkane vs Raja Casablanca
- 3 June 2026Raja Casablanca 0–1 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
- 25 February 2026Renaissance Berkane 1–1 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 29 December 2024Renaissance Berkane 2–0 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 31 August 2024Raja Casablanca 0–1 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
- 24 May 2024Raja Casablanca 3–0 Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
- 24 December 2023Renaissance Berkane 1–1 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Renaissance Berkane carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.5 for Raja Casablanca. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.94 goals for Renaissance Berkane and 0.94 for Raja Casablanca. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Renaissance Berkane rate 0.60 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Raja Casablanca rate 0.61 and 1.26.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Raja Casablanca the highest probability at 34%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Renaissance Berkane against 0.94 for Raja Casablanca. Renaissance Berkane's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.26 for Raja Casablanca.
Season stats
Renaissance Berkane at home · Raja Casablanca away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Renaissance BerkaneRaja Casablanca
Renaissance Berkane are 11th after 3 Botola Pro matches (between 6th and 12th so far); Raja Casablanca are 5th after 3 (between 5th and 6th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: Renaissance Berkane 3, Raja Casablanca 3.
Raja Casablanca score most often in the 16–30 minute window (2 goals); Renaissance Berkane have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Renaissance Berkane
- at Hassania Agadir6 Nov · Botola Prowin 39%
Raja Casablanca
- at FAR Rabat4 Nov · Botola Prowin 33%
- vs Ittihad Tanger8 Nov · Botola Prowin 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.