Al-Jazira
vs
Baniyas SC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Jazira 2–0 Baniyas SC
The model makes it 63% Al-Jazira, 22% draw, 15% Baniyas SC — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Al-Jazira 2.25, Baniyas SC 0.85.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Al-Jazira are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Al-Jazira are 2nd on 13 points from 5 games; Baniyas SC are bottom on 1 point from 6 games — Pro League.
- Al-Jazira are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Al Nasr.
- Baniyas SC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Al-Wasl FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Jazira 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 16 May 2026, ended Al-Jazira 4–1 Baniyas SC.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Jazira at 63% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC
Al-Jazira
- D1-1Al Nasr10 September 2026
- W3-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai5 September 2026
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sharjah FC23 August 2026
- W2-0away to Hatta SC16 August 2026
Baniyas SC
- L0-2Al-Wasl FC16 October 2026
- D0-0away to Khorfakkan11 September 2026
- L0-1Hatta SC5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Wahda FC30 August 2026
- L2-3Dubai United23 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Jazira went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Al-Jazira scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Jazira won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Baniyas SC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Baniyas SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC
- 16 May 2026Al-Jazira 4–1 Baniyas SCPro League
- 2 February 2026Baniyas SC 1–2 Al-JaziraPresidents Cup
- 19 September 2025Baniyas SC 0–4 Al-JaziraPro League
- 31 January 2025Al-Jazira 0–1 Baniyas SCPro League
- 24 August 2024Baniyas SC 2–0 Al-JaziraPro League
- 5 May 2024Al-Jazira 1–0 Baniyas SCPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Bruno20
Baniyas SC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Al-Jazira carry a model rating of 6.64 against 6.21 for Baniyas SC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.25 goals for Al-Jazira and 0.85 for Baniyas SC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Jazira rate 0.77 in attack and 1.17 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Baniyas SC rate 0.48 and 1.74.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al-Jazira a 33% chance of the title and Baniyas SC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Jazira the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.25 expected goals for Al-Jazira against 0.85 for Baniyas SC. Al-Jazira's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.17 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.74 for Baniyas SC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al-Jazira at home · Baniyas SC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Jazira 5, Baniyas SC 6.
Al-Jazira score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Baniyas SC have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al-Jazira
- vs Al-Wasl FC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Khorfakkan21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 57%
- vs Al Ain3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 35%
- at Dubai United13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 60%
Baniyas SC
- at Ajman8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 27%
- vs Al Nasr21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 28%
- at Al-Dhafra5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 16%
- at Al-Ittihad Kalba24 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 34%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.