CODM Meknès
vs
FAR Rabat
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: CODM Meknès 0–1 FAR Rabat
The model makes it 30% CODM Meknès, 30% draw, 40% FAR Rabat — fair odds of 3.33, 3.33 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: CODM Meknès 1.05, FAR Rabat 1.30.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,012 settled matches.
Edge to FAR Rabat: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 20 October 2026. CODM Meknès's rating is built from 34 Botola Pro matches and FAR Rabat's from 32, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- CODM Meknès are 2nd on 7 points from 4 games; FAR Rabat are 10th on 4 points from 2 games — Botola Pro.
- CODM Meknès have won 2 of their last 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to UTS Rabat.
- Last 4 meetings: FAR Rabat 2 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 July 2026, ended CODM Meknès 3–2 FAR Rabat.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FAR Rabat at 40% here. Across 4,324 settled matches (as of 20 October 2026), 2,011 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
CODM Meknès
- W1-0UTS Rabat17 October 2026
- D0-0away to Wydad AC11 October 2026
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech3 October 2026
- W6-2away to Difaa EL Jadida26 September 2026
FAR Rabat
- D2-2away to Hassania Agadir12 October 2026
- W1-0Widad Témara8 October 2026
What these results say
- 3 of these 4 matches for CODM Meknès had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CODM Meknès | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat
- 2 July 2026CODM Meknès 3–2 FAR RabatBotola Pro
- 27 February 2026FAR Rabat 3–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 23 January 2025CODM Meknès 2–2 FAR RabatBotola Pro
- 25 September 2024FAR Rabat 4–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
The two sides
CODM Meknès carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.46 for FAR Rabat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.05 goals for CODM Meknès and 1.30 for FAR Rabat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CODM Meknès rate 0.56 in attack and 1.68 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FAR Rabat rate 0.69 and 1.51.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour CODM Meknès, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,088 correct results out of 4,337 settled predictions (48%), with 440 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FAR Rabat the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.05 expected goals for CODM Meknès against 1.30 for FAR Rabat. CODM Meknès's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.51 for FAR Rabat.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
CODM Meknès
- at Moghreb Tetouan7 Nov · Botola Prowin 39%
FAR Rabat
- vs Raja Casablanca4 Nov · Botola Prowin 35%
- vs Difaa EL Jadida8 Nov · Botola Prowin 50%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.