Atromitos
vs
Volos NFC
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: Atromitos 1–0 Volos NFC
The model makes it 52% Atromitos, 26% draw, 22% Volos NFC — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Atromitos 1.79, Volos NFC 1.00.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 58% of the time, over 1,389 settled matches.
Edge to Atromitos: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 19 October 2026. Atromitos's rating is built from 42 Greek Super League matches and Volos NFC's from 39, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 520 matches.
Key facts
- Atromitos are 12th on 2 points from 6 games; Volos NFC are bottom on 0 points from 7 games — Super League 1.
- Atromitos have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Asteras Tripolis.
- Volos NFC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Levadiakos.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 19 January 2026, ended Volos NFC 0–3 Atromitos.
More Greek Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Atromitos vs Volos NFC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atromitos at 52% here. Across 4,271 settled matches (as of 19 October 2026), 1,048 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Atromitos vs Volos NFC
Atromitos
- L1-2away to Asteras Tripolis10 October 2026
- L1-2Kifisia19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Iraklis 190812 September 2026
- D1-1Kalamata6 September 2026
- L1-2PAOK30 August 2026
Volos NFC
- D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
- L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026
- L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
What these results say
- Atromitos did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Atromitos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Atromitos conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Atromitos vs Volos NFC
- 19 January 2026Volos NFC 0–3 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 9 November 2025Atromitos 0–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 24 September 2025Volos NFC 1–1 AtromitosCup
- 24 January 2025Volos NFC 0–1 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 5 October 2024Atromitos 1–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 13 April 2024Volos NFC 2–2 AtromitosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Atromitos and Volos NFC
Atromitos
GoalsAssists
- S. Moutoussamy20
Volos NFC
GoalsAssists
- M. González20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Atromitos carry a model rating of 6.57 against 6.38 for Volos NFC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.79 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Volos NFC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Atromitos rate 0.76 in attack and 1.32 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Volos NFC rate 0.63 and 1.61.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,058 correct results out of 4,279 settled predictions (48%), with 431 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Atromitos the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.79 expected goals for Atromitos against 1.00 for Volos NFC. Atromitos's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.61 for Volos NFC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Atromitos at home · Volos NFC away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
AtromitosVolos NFC
Atromitos are 12th after 6 Super League 1 matches (between 9th and 12th so far); Volos NFC are 14th after 7 (between 14th and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Volos NFC −3) count from the first match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: Atromitos 6, Volos NFC 7.
Atromitos score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Volos NFC have let in 2 there.
Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Atromitos have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Atromitos
- at OFI8 Nov · Super League 1win 32%
- at Levadiakos22 Nov · Super League 1win 37%
- vs Panathinaikos29 Nov · Super League 1win 20%
Volos NFC
- vs Kifisia7 Nov · Super League 1win 35%
- at Panetolikos22 Nov · Super League 1win 28%
- vs Asteras Tripolis28 Nov · Super League 1win 39%
- at PAOK6 Dec · Super League 1win 10%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.