Iraklis 1908
vs
Kifisia
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: Iraklis 1908 1–0 Kifisia
The model makes it 43% Iraklis 1908, 32% draw, 25% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.33, 3.13 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Iraklis 1908 1.20, Kifisia 0.80.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%, under 2.5: 68%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Iraklis 1908 are 7th on 9 points from 6 games; Kifisia are 9th on 8 points from 6 games — Super League 1.
- Iraklis 1908 are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 2-0 win at home to Levadiakos.
- Kifisia are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Panetolikos.
More Greek Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Iraklis 1908 at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia
Iraklis 1908
- W2-0Levadiakos11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Aris Thessalonikis19 September 2026
- D1-1Atromitos12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
Kifisia
- W2-0Panetolikos11 October 2026
- W2-1away to Atromitos19 September 2026
- D0-0Levadiakos13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Panathinaikos10 September 2026
- L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026
What these results say
- Iraklis 1908 went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Iraklis 1908 had two goals or fewer.
- Iraklis 1908 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Iraklis 1908
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 8% today
Kifisia
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 20% today
From our Super League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Leading scorers: Iraklis 1908 and Kifisia
Iraklis 1908
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Iraklis 1908 carry a model rating of 6.62 against 6.51 for Kifisia. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for Iraklis 1908 and 0.80 for Kifisia. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Iraklis 1908 rate 0.66 in attack and 1.08 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kifisia rate 0.62 and 1.25.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Iraklis 1908 the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Iraklis 1908 against 0.80 for Kifisia. Iraklis 1908's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.25 for Kifisia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Iraklis 1908 at home · Kifisia away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Iraklis 1908Kifisia
Iraklis 1908 are 6th after 6 Super League 1 matches (between 6th and 13th so far); Kifisia are 7th after 6 (between 7th and 11th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Volos NFC −2) count from the first match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: Iraklis 1908 6, Kifisia 6.
Iraklis 1908 score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Kifisia have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Iraklis 1908
- at Kalamata2 Nov · Super League 1win 29%
- vs Panathinaikos8 Nov · Super League 1win 22%
- at Olympiakos Piraeus22 Nov · Super League 1win 17%
- vs Panetolikos28 Nov · Super League 1win 45%
Kifisia
- vs Olympiakos Piraeus31 Oct · Super League 1win 20%
- at Volos NFC7 Nov · Super League 1win 37%
- at PAOK22 Nov · Super League 1win 14%
- vs Kalamata28 Nov · Super League 1win 34%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.