Sportivo Trinidense
vs
Rubio NU
Division Profesional - Clausura prediction
Our model says: Sportivo Trinidense 2–0 Rubio NU
The model makes it 62% Sportivo Trinidense, 22% draw, 16% Rubio NU — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense 2.24, Rubio NU 0.89.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,420 settled matches.
One-sided: Sportivo Trinidense are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 21 October 2026. Sportivo Trinidense's rating is built from 37 Paraguayan Primera División Clausura matches and Rubio NU's from 15, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Sportivo Trinidense are 4th on 27 points from 15 games; Rubio NU are 10th on 13 points from 15 games — Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Sportivo Trinidense are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Libertad Asuncion.
- Rubio NU have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Deportivo Recoleta.
- Last 6 meetings: Sportivo Trinidense 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 21 August 2026, ended Rubio NU 0–0 Sportivo Trinidense.
More Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sportivo Trinidense vs Rubio NU
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sportivo Trinidense at 62% here. Across 4,371 settled matches (as of 21 October 2026), 1,073 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sportivo Trinidense vs Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
- W1-0Libertad Asuncion18 October 2026
- D1-1away to Club Sp. San Lorenzo10 October 2026
- W3-2Sportivo Luqueno5 October 2026
- W2-1Cerro Porteno26 September 2026
- L0-1Club Guarani18 September 2026
Rubio NU
- L0-1away to Deportivo Recoleta16 October 2026
- D0-0Olimpia11 October 2026
- W2-1away to Sportivo Ameliano6 October 2026
- D2-22 de Mayo26 September 2026
- L0-1away to Cerro Porteno19 September 2026
What these results say
- Sportivo Trinidense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sportivo Trinidense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rubio NU failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rubio NU conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 27 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Sportivo Trinidense
Chance to finish in the top four · 64% today
Rubio NU
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 62% today
From our Division Profesional - Clausura season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Sportivo Trinidense vs Rubio NU
- 21 August 2026Rubio NU 0–0 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 6 April 2026Sportivo Trinidense 4–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 7 February 2026Rubio NU 0–1 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 25 July 2022Rubio NU 0–2 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Intermedia
- 18 April 2022Sportivo Trinidense 0–0 Rubio NUDivision Intermedia
- 21 July 2021Sportivo Trinidense 2–2 Rubio NUDivision Intermedia
Leading scorers: Sportivo Trinidense and Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
GoalsAssists
- F. Romero71
- L. Abreu31
Rubio NU
GoalsAssists
- R. Ruiz Díaz32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Sportivo Trinidense carry a model rating of 6.57 against 6.26 for Rubio NU. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.24 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.89 for Rubio NU. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Sportivo Trinidense rate 0.74 in attack and 1.30 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Rubio NU rate 0.57 and 1.86.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sportivo Trinidense a 5.2% chance of the title and Rubio NU 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,110 correct results out of 4,378 settled predictions (48%), with 443 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sportivo Trinidense the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.24 expected goals for Sportivo Trinidense against 0.89 for Rubio NU. Sportivo Trinidense's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.86 for Rubio NU.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Sportivo Trinidense at home · Rubio NU away
League matches only, Division Profesional - Clausura, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Division Profesional - Clausura matches this season: Sportivo Trinidense 15, Rubio NU 15.
Sportivo Trinidense score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Rubio NU have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Sportivo Trinidense
- at 2 de Mayo8 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 36%
- vs Sportivo Ameliano15 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 56%
- at Olimpia18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 24%
- vs Deportivo Recoleta25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 64%
Rubio NU
- vs Sportivo Luqueno8 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 49%
- at Club Sp. San Lorenzo15 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 39%
- vs Libertad Asuncion18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 32%
- at Nacional Asuncion25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 12%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.