Slavia Praha
vs
Artis
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Slavia Praha 3–0 Artis
The model makes it 79% Slavia Praha, 14% draw, 7% Artis — fair odds of 1.27, 7.14 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Slavia Praha 3.07, Artis 0.63.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
One-sided: Slavia Praha are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Slavia Praha's rating is built from 46 Czech Liga matches and Artis's from 13, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 650 matches.
Key facts
- Slavia Praha are top on 28 points from 12 games; Artis are 14th on 9 points from 11 games — Czech Liga.
- Slavia Praha are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Mlada Boleslav.
- Artis are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Teplice.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slavia Praha vs Artis
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 79% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 378 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Artis
Slavia Praha
Czech Liga
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav24 October 2026
- D0-0Hradec Králové17 October 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin9 October 2026
- W2-1Plzen20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Teplice13 September 2026
Artis
Czech Liga
- D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
- W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Praha went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Slavia Praha scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Praha had two goals or fewer.
- Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 28 |
| 14 | Artis | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Artis
- 24 July 2022Slavia Praha 2–4 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Artis
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- W. Nowak51
- E. Ayaosi41
- M. Chytil40
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Slavia Praha carry a model rating of 7.12 against 6.42 for Artis. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.07 goals for Slavia Praha and 0.63 for Artis. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slavia Praha rate 1.27 in attack and 0.74 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Artis rate 0.67 and 1.60.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Slavia Praha a 88.6% chance of the title and Artis 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slavia Praha the highest probability at 79%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.07 expected goals for Slavia Praha against 0.63 for Artis. Slavia Praha's attack/defence rating is 1.27/0.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.6 for Artis.
How the model reaches 79% for Slavia Praha to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Slavia Praha to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Slavia Praha's ratings add 14 points and Artis's ratings add 24 points, which lands on the published 79%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Slavia Praha's ratings55%+14
- Artis's ratings79%+24
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Slavia Praha at home · Artis away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Slavia Praha 12, Artis 11.
Slavia Praha score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Artis have let in 2 there.
Artis score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Slavia Praha have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Slavia Praha
- at Sigma Olomouc21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 54%
- vs Villarreal25 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 53%
- vs Baník Ostrava29 Nov · Czech Ligawin 73%
Artis
- vs FK Jablonec21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 31%
- vs Slovácko27 Nov · Czech Ligawin 36%
- at Sigma Olomouc5 Dec · Czech Ligawin 19%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.