Radomiak Radom
vs
Slask Wroclaw
Ekstraklasa prediction
Our model says: Radomiak Radom 2–1 Slask Wroclaw
The model makes it 41% Radomiak Radom, 25% draw, 34% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Radomiak Radom 1.77, Slask Wroclaw 1.55.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Radomiak Radom are 16th on 8 points from 10 games; Slask Wroclaw are 17th on 6 points from 11 games — Ekstraklasa.
- Radomiak Radom are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat at home to Motor Lublin.
- Slask Wroclaw have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Motor Lublin.
- Last 6 meetings: Slask Wroclaw 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 February 2025, ended Radomiak Radom 1–1 Slask Wroclaw.
More Ekstraklasa predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radomiak Radom at 41% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw
Radomiak Radom
- L2-3Motor Lublin12 October 2026
- L1-5away to Lech Poznan20 September 2026
- L0-2Piast Gliwice14 September 2026
- D0-0away to Widzew Łódź5 September 2026
- W2-1Cracovia Krakow29 August 2026
Slask Wroclaw
- L2-3away to Motor Lublin17 October 2026
- L1-4Lech Poznan10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow18 September 2026
- L1-2Korona Kielce12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 September 2026
What these results say
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radomiak Radom conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radomiak Radom
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 65% today
Slask Wroclaw
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 62% today
From our Ekstraklasa season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw
- 8 February 2025Radomiak Radom 1–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 14 December 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 29 October 2024Radomiak Radom 0–3 Slask WroclawCup
- 18 May 2024Slask Wroclaw 2–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 27 November 2023Radomiak Radom 0–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 30 April 2023Slask Wroclaw 0–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Slask Wroclaw
Radomiak Radom
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Slask Wroclaw
GoalsAssists
- P. Samiec-Talar43
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Radomiak Radom carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.49 for Slask Wroclaw. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.77 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.55 for Slask Wroclaw. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radomiak Radom rate 0.67 in attack and 1.58 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slask Wroclaw rate 0.77 and 1.60.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radomiak Radom the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Radomiak Radom against 1.55 for Slask Wroclaw. Radomiak Radom's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.6 for Slask Wroclaw.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Radomiak Radom at home · Slask Wroclaw away
League matches only, Ekstraklasa, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ekstraklasa matches this season: Radomiak Radom 10, Slask Wroclaw 11.
Radomiak Radom score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Slask Wroclaw have let in 4 there.
Slask Wroclaw score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Radomiak Radom have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Radomiak Radom
- at Korona Kielce7 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 21%
- vs Wisla Krakow21 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 29%
- at Jagiellonia28 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 19%
Slask Wroclaw
- vs Piast Gliwice7 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 36%
- at Pogon Szczecin21 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 17%
- vs GKS Katowice28 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 30%
- at Wisla Plock5 Dec · Ekstraklasawin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.