Radnicki NIS
vs
FK Partizan
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnicki NIS 1–2 FK Partizan
The model makes it 29% Radnicki NIS, 25% draw, 46% FK Partizan — fair odds of 3.45, 4.00 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Radnicki NIS 1.35, FK Partizan 1.82.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,296 settled matches.
Edge to FK Partizan: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 26 October 2026. Radnicki NIS's rating is built from 49 Serbian SuperLiga matches and FK Partizan's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 685 matches.
Key facts
- Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8 points from 12 games; FK Partizan are 10th on 11 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
- Radnicki NIS are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Novi Pazar.
- FK Partizan have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Cukaricki.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Partizan 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 31 January 2026, ended FK Partizan 0–0 Radnicki NIS.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Partizan at 46% here. Across 4,942 settled matches (as of 26 October 2026), 2,300 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga
- L0-2Novi Pazar23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
- L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026
- L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd13 September 2026
FK Partizan
Super Liga
- L0-2Cukaricki24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Železničar Pančevo18 October 2026
- W1-0Novi Pazar11 October 2026
- D4-4away to Radnik Surdulica19 September 2026
- L2-3Vojvodina13 September 2026
What these results say
- Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.
- FK Partizan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Partizan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radnicki NIS
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 71% today
FK Partizan
Chance to finish in the top six · 27% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan
- 31 January 2026FK Partizan 0–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 24 August 2025Radnicki NIS 2–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 21 December 2024Radnicki NIS 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 4 December 2024FK Partizan 3–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 11 December 2023Radnicki NIS 2–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 13 August 2023FK Partizan 2–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan
Radnicki NIS
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Radnicki NIS carry a model rating of 6.09 against 6.36 for FK Partizan. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.35 goals for Radnicki NIS and 1.82 for FK Partizan. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radnicki NIS rate 0.44 in attack and 2.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FK Partizan rate 0.70 and 1.92.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,376 correct results out of 4,950 settled predictions (48%), with 492 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Partizan the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Radnicki NIS against 1.82 for FK Partizan. Radnicki NIS's attack/defence rating is 0.44/2.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.92 for FK Partizan.
How the model reaches 46% for FK Partizan to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FK Partizan to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Radnicki NIS's ratings add 41 points and FK Partizan's ratings take away 26 points, which lands on the published 46%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Radnicki NIS's ratings72%+41
- FK Partizan's ratings46%−26
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Radnicki NIS at home · FK Partizan away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnicki NIS 12, FK Partizan 12.
FK Partizan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Radnicki NIS have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Radnicki NIS
- vs Železničar Pančevo2 Nov · Super Ligawin 22%
- at Cukaricki7 Nov · Super Ligawin 22%
- vs Zemun21 Nov · Super Ligawin 50%
- at FK Partizan28 Nov · Super Ligawin 19%
- vs IMT Novi Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 27%
FK Partizan
- vs Zemun1 Nov · Super Ligawin 68%
- vs Macva7 Nov · Super Ligawin 59%
- at IMT Novi Beograd21 Nov · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Radnicki NIS28 Nov · Super Ligawin 58%
- at Radnicki 19236 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.